Water Wars

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The Americans have been sucked into the Egypt-Ethiopia negotiations over the GERD dam.
They are attempting to mediate between the two. Fortunately, they have a fully competent administration in charge. Oh, wait a minute...
Statistics, statistics...
For once, I am not entirely convinced by the methodology.
It works on a rather odd system where water is considered either the trigger, the weapon, or the casualty.

So, for example, the dam busters raid is classed as a "casualty" as a water infrastructure was attacked.

However, the deliberate destruction of flood defences to flood terrain destroys infrastructure to alter the terrain, thereby becoming a "weapon".

To my mind, both of these could be classed as "tactical" use of water, but more important is the "strategic" need to control water, which involves control of the upstream watersheds, which can allow a "hegemon" to literally have the power of life or death over downstream nations.
In terms of conflict risk, these are more important than a herder/ farmer conflict over a waterhole in Africa.
Don't bet on it pt 2.

The following shows it better. This is a photo and map of the western end of Lake Eire. Toledo Ohio is at the western corner of the lake. Detroit and Windsor are just off the top of the map (the mouth of the Detroit river is visible there). Canada can be seen across the top, east of the Detroit river.

There is a small river which flows into Lake Erie at Toledo which dumps a disproportionately huge amount of phosphorus into the lake because of poor agricultural practices conducted in its watershed. In hot weather this leads to algal blooms which can disrupt the water supply for Toledo and occasionally other cities in the US along the southern shore. In extreme cases a tendril of algae will reach across the lake to Canada, carried on currents.

The issue is entirely solvable with appropriate education of farmers and regulation of water courses, but state officials in Ohio prefer to blame God or the weather (but definitely not climate change) or whatever rather than actually do anything. In Ontario there are regulations covering things like the application of fertilizer and the handling of pig manure (another major source of phosphorus pollution), so these sorts of algal blooms are much less common and much smaller here.

Note by the way how the very small river at the south western corner is a source of algal bloom, but the much, much, larger Detroit river flowing in from the north is free of algae, and how its flow is actually pushing algae away from it. That tells you a lot about how badly polluted with phosphorus the smaller river is.

Lake Erie algal bloom extends into southern Ont. harbour
Brought this up after Christmas . Met an American chap on holiday in Kenya.
He mentioned that a lot of his clients with “beach “ front property in Florida are buying up land further inland and trying to sell their “beach”front property as the ones with the cash are not stupid.

still got a normal response from a troll....

Sea level rise in Florida you say?
Beach at Fort Lauderdale 1960


Beach at Fort Lauderdale 2014


Fancy a quick game of spot the sea level difference?

Maybe it might be because the state of Florida buys millions of tons of sand per year.

And its not getting any better.

Glad The orange mong has his Mar e Lago hotel there. His kids are going to love it when it floods.
Water related troubles in Iran

I seem to recall they had issues last year or the year before. Ongoing really but it gets that much worse in summer.
A few snippets via OOskaNews.

ETA Ironically the place in the Spanish story seems to be a lakeside development.

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OoskaNews again...

Actual water related conflict.

The Rhine again.

Nile River sabre-rattling.

'An Ethiopian military leader issued a warning to Egypt today over the Nile river dam dispute involving the two African countries. The country’s deputy army chieftold state media that Egypt should be aware of Ethiopia’s military capabilities as Egypt continues to oppose Ethiopia’s plan to start filling the hydroelectric dam next month. “Egyptians and the rest of the world know too well how we conduct war whenever it comes,” said Gen. Birhanu Jula, as reported by The Associated Press.

'Ethiopia began building the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam in 2011. It will serve as a hydroelectric power source when completed. The dam is on the Blue Nile River in northwest Ethiopia near the border with Sudan. A major tributary of the Nile, the Blue Nile joins the White Nile in Sudan; the Nile then flows into Egypt. Egyptian officials say they believe an unrestricted filling of the dam will reduce the Nile’s water levels to an extent that endangers the country’s waterand food security.'

Ethiopian military leader calls out Egypt over Nile dam dispute

Read more: Ethiopian military leader calls out Egypt over Nile dam dispute
There was a significant dam failure in Uzbekistan in May, but this article ties it to a wider water management problem across the post Soviet 'stans.

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