US Deploying to Gulf

A spike in oil prices and a global recession is one example.
Russia benefits from high oil prices, and would love to see Western nations enter an economic crisis.

What it DOESN'T want is one of its few strategic allies and source of proxy warriors getting scorched down to bedrock through its own stupidity.
U.S. official: United States building maritime security coalition for Gulf - Reuters
Looks like the US will be providing security for traffic transiting the Straits, along with partners, to form a a coalition. Sentinel appears to be the code name:
The United States is building a coalition with its allies to protect Gulf shipping lanes by having “eyes on all shipping”, a senior U.S. State Department official said on Monday, following recent attacks on oil tankers that Washington blamed on Iran.

The official told reporters en route to the United Arab Emirates that a coalition of nations would provide both material and financial contributions to the “Sentinel” programme, but did not name the countries.
They're talking about 'proactive deterrence:
“It’s about proactive deterrence, because the Iranians just want to go out and do what they want to do and say hey we didn’t do it. We know what they’ve done,” he said, adding that the deterrents would include cameras, binoculars and ships.
Surely, the might of the US could keep the Strait of Hormuz open, no?
To some degree, certainly. But 100% open, are you really sure about that?

And there's absolutely no reason to believe that Iran would be so kind as to confine themselves as to fight the sort of war we want to fight. Iraq is currently looking shaky. What happens when civil war suddenly kicks off there again? What happens to the LNG facilities which are hanging out in the open in the middle of the Persian Gulf? What happens when the Shia decide to kick off in eastern Saudi Arabia and suddenly it's a lot less easy for the oil operations there?

And with Venezuela and Libya being in the state that they are, this is not exactly the time to be risking any more supply disruptions. It only takes the loss of a few percent of supply to send prices through the roof and the global economy down into the crapper.

Putting the screws to Venezuela, Iran, and Libya at the same time is not ideal if you are inclined to be cautious. Now adding the risk of war and the loss of even more supply is not exactly what I would call a winning strategy.
Putting the screws to Venezuela, Iran, and Libya at the same time is not ideal if you are inclined to be cautious. Now adding the risk of war and the loss of even more supply is not exactly what I would call a winning strategy.
Oh boy, would love to see the logistics planning on that one...
Bit more detail on the US response to Iran’s shoot-down of the drone.

Christopher Krebs, the director of the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency, said the cyber attacks against Iran used "destructive 'wiper' attacks".

"What might start as an account compromise, where you think you might just lose data, can quickly become a situation where you’ve lost your whole network," he said.
US launches cyber-attack on Iranian weapons systems

The expected response from Iran has been, no damage, attack thwarted. What is more likely is that they have been given a nasty shock.
Iran denies being hit by US cyberattack
Kata'ib Hezbollah, an Iranian sponsored Shia militia group was one of the US targets, the goal to attack its networked communications.
US targeted Iranian-backed militia group in cyberattack: report

Some further economic sanctions, a US Treasury said it had taken actions against eight senior commanders of Navy, Aerospace, and Ground Forces of the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC).

These will deny Iran’s leadership access to financial resources and authorises the targeting of individuals appointed to certain official or other positions by the Supreme Leader or the Supreme Leader’s Office”.

Iran’s Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif is also expected to be hit by sanctions later on in the week.
Trump imposes new sanctions on Iran targeting supreme leader | DW | 25.06.2019

With around 17 countries affected by the tanker attacks, either directly or through crew, insurance or contracts the US is proposing an international maritime Gulf protection force.

The special envoy said an international force might be successful in isolating Iran on a diplomatic scale, as well as make it more dangerous for Tehran to make further attacks on the Gulf’s shipping. The US in the meantime has recently been increasing domestic oil production and reserves and is now much less dependent on ME oil.
The United States is now the largest global crude oil producer - Today in Energy - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)
Last edited:

Similar threads

Latest Threads