"Third Lebanon War" To Kick Off This Summer?

Discussion in 'Current Affairs, News and Analysis' started by Not_Whistlin_Dixie, Dec 3, 2006.

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  1. From Haaretz:

    There will be a war next summer. Only the sector has not been chosen yet. The atmosphere in the Israel Defense Forces in the past month has been very pessimistic. The latest rounds in the campaigns on both fronts, Lebanon and the Gaza Strip, have left too many issues undecided, too many potential detonators that could cause a new conflagration. The army's conclusion from this is that a war in the new future is a reasonable possibility. As Amir Oren reported in Haaretz several weeks ago, the IDF's operative assumption is that during the coming summer months, a war will break out against Hezbollah and perhaps against Syria as well.


    Of the two worrisome scenarios, the IDF speaks more in public about a conflagration in Gaza, but is also genuinely worried about a war in the North, mainly in light of the army's dubious achievements in the previous round there.

    "The third Lebanon war" by Amos Harel and Avi Issacharoff. 3 December 2006
  2. Thanks NWD - good spot.


    Any chance of merging this with the "Israel-Lebanon Front" thread. The Haaretz article seems to follow on perfectly with the discussions about who has most to gain from political instability in Lebanon.

  3. Yes, war will start but only after the Israelis replenish their stocks of missiles and cluster bombs, which are undoubtedely sitting in some US warehouse even as we speak.

    I agree with merkator. This thread should be merged with the "Israel-Lebanon Front" discussion.
  4. Let's not forget that the IDF will only be able to attack once the UNIFIL force has been weakened in terms of both mandate and force composition. I'll direct you to paragraph 16 of UNSCR 1701:

    Cue US sponsorship/proposal of a revised UNSCR to replace 1701 due to 'failure' of UNIFIL and current Lebanese government to create the conditions for peace.