That is the straight up odds for who will be the next president.. Its only a crappy 9-4 for a better trump college result, but you can gain stupid multiples on the electoral college towards the stupid prices and only a mug, would expect Trump to win 350 votes and/or the rest of the country
Fascinating election; because I've never seen a polling spread between trumps best(+1 lead) and Bidens best(14 point lead) in the past two weeks and the gap is not normal.. I noted earlier 270towin have selected a mix of polls and are trying to work out which are solid, but everyone is struggling to predict this one.
My own logic was to take a qualification, that straight cut the polls and I said Trump has a floor of 45% points and on that basis, he could still lose this election and needed at least another 2-3% point swing on election day, which is perfectly possible.
What does ‘straight cut’ the polls mean? Is this some advanced statistical technique of which us mere dilettantes know nothing?
Oh no, it’s just more word salad which means cut the polls you don’t like...
And what is this 45% ‘floor’ of which you speak? Is this just the new term for the inviolable 45% ‘base’ you were talking about before?
Oh I forgot. You have me on ignore because you actually know **** all about statistics.