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The Trump Presidency...

Right, so you can’t actually explain what ‘sampling error’ means. Thought not. Let’s add that to the list of logical statistical terms you don’t understand (but like to use).

You didn’t ‘explain’ why the polls or the samples are wrong, expect by using a circular argument that they must be wrong because they didn’t agree with what you thought.

I think the results of a ‘poll of polls’ (or indeed several aggregate polls) is a teensy-weensy bit more credible.

You are flailing...really...you’re doing it again by trying to deflect this onto me. It’s not about who I think will win, my posts have always been about trying to stop your excruciating attempts at ‘analysis’. I note that whenever you’re called on a particular point (such as why polls on voting may not give the same as a poll on approval), rather than recognise the explanation you tend to simply deflect the discussion- ‘switch targets right’.

I’ve also made it clear about my ‘opinion’ of Trump. However I don’t need to make a prediction;* I’m happy to follow professionals who have a marked interest in getting it right. So I’m happy with 13/100. Or 1:8. Whichever you prefer.

If you stop büllshit attempts at statistical analysis I’ll stop calling you on it.

* which as someone who’s conducted surveys professionally I wouldn’t do unless I had the means to conduct a poll of my own.
If the sampling is wrong, your poll is wrong.
If enough polls are sampled wrong, your aggregate is wrong and the outliers will be more pronounced(your seeing that now as we get closer to the day).
If your sampling, aggregate and your mean is also wrong. Then your professionals are wrong and set for another historic shellacking from an angry media.
 
If the sampling is wrong, your poll is wrong.
If enough polls are sampled wrong, your aggregate is wrong and the outliers will be more pronounced(your seeing that now as we get closer to the day).
If your sampling, aggregate and your mean is also wrong. Then your professionals are wrong and set for another historic shellacking from an angry media.

Confirmed.

You don’t know what ‘survey error’ means.

You could have saved yourself the effort of tossing some more word salad and just said so.

But that would be a first.
 
What, Presidential Children profited off Dad being Potus?

Why Chelsea never heard of such a thing

funny how you hypocritical bastards never cared about that till now

I take it you don't actually know what "Fīat jūstitia ruat cælum" means?

Or you don't bother to read what I write?

Or the red mist has come down and you are incapable of calm reply?

Try again.
 
Confirmed.

You don’t know what ‘survey error’ means.

You could have saved yourself the effort of tossing some more word salad and just said so.

But that would be a first.
Keep swinging, as your mean is fast becoming meaningless, as people make their choice..... Look at Florida, the outlier group is increasing in size from evens to Trump ahead by 4 points and even the left leaning polls, have been gradually dragged from 6 to 2 points for Biden.

P.S. To save another go around, your on ignore till the day after election.
 
NYC Jews getting beat up by an "idea" today




The only intolerance we ever seem to see is from the left, Didn't they listen to their candidate's message, I bet they will magically fade away if he gets into power, as quick as they materialised when their team lost last time around.

Political agitators being programmed by scum in the media.
 
I cant stop watching this, superb!

 
NYC Jews getting beat up by an "idea" today




The only intolerance we ever seem to see is from the left, Didn't they listen to their candidate's message, I bet they will magically fade away if he gets into power, as quick as they materialised when their team lost last time around.

Political agitators being programmed by scum in the media.
The salt mining is going to be amazing next month - I can hardly wait, 4 more years of taunting the left - hahahaha.....
 
NYC Jews getting beat up by an "idea" today




The only intolerance we ever seem to see is from the left, Didn't they listen to their candidate's message, I bet they will magically fade away if he gets into power, as quick as they materialised when their team lost last time around.

Political agitators being programmed by scum in the media.
The left do seem to enjoy taking sly digs at people looking in the other direction, its a tactic and the returning kick was entirely warranted... To some extent, the left were onto a winner in the summer with this stuff, because it reinforced the narrative that this was all down to trump and if only people voted him out, all of this would go away.

The funny thing about intimidation, is the longer it goes on, the greater the likelihood the initial turn the other cheek weak response hardens and a trump victory would deliver a nice conclusion to all these videos.
 
The left do seem to enjoy taking sly digs at people looking in the other direction, its a tactic and the returning kick was entirely warranted... To some extent, the left were onto a winner in the summer with this stuff, because it reinforced the narrative that this was all down to trump and if only people voted him out, all of this would go away.

The funny thing about intimidation, is the longer it goes on, the greater the likelihood the initial turn the other cheek weak response hardens and a trump victory would deliver a nice conclusion to all these videos.
The thing with the right is - we don't take kindly to bullies and intimidation and are likely to get our revenge one way of the other. I don't care how long it takes me to right a wrong - 6 hours/6 days/6 weeks/6 years - if someone does me a wrong turn I will get my vengeance + some added vengeance just to send a message. I am sure there are many other people the same as me. Mercy is for the weak and simple minded.
I believe in the Balance of the universe - yin and yang, if someone does a bad turn, someone needs to balance that up.....those leftys will get what's coming to them.
 
The thing with the right is - we don't take kindly to bullies and intimidation and are likely to get our revenge one way of the other. I don't care how long it takes me to right a wrong - 6 hours/6 days/6 weeks/6 years - if someone does me a wrong turn I will get my vengeance + some added vengeance just to send a message. I am sure there are many other people the same as me. Mercy is for the weak and simple minded.
I believe in the Balance of the universe - yin and yang, if someone does a bad turn, someone needs to balance that up.....those leftys will get what's coming to them.
Show us on the dolly where the bad man touched you...
 

happyuk

War Hero
Unless there is proof that the Hunter videos depict underage girls or any other illicit crimes, the pornography is a distraction, in my humble opinion. And even then, these would be Hunter Biden's crimes, not Joe's.

The kickbacks to Joe from the CCP, Ukraine, Iran, etc, and the ensuing coverup of at the highest levels of government from the Alphabet Agencies and from complicit media, however, are disturbing and should alarm anyone considering voting for Joe Biden or who must now face the very real prospect of a Joe Biden Presidency, regardless of how they voted.

It would appear that a lot of the damage has already been done and what we are seeing is the fallout, i.e., the Department of Justice appears non-functional, the alphabet agencies are complicit in the takedown, the government and mainstream media no longer even pretend to operate within the constraints of U.S. Constitution - one party having open disdain for the Republic
 
Unless there is proof that the Hunter videos depict underage girls or any other illicit crimes, the pornography is a distraction, in my humble opinion. And even then, these would be Hunter Biden's crimes, not Joe's.

The kickbacks to Joe from the CCP, Ukraine, Iran, etc, and the ensuing coverup of at the highest levels of government from the Alphabet Agencies and from complicit media, however, are disturbing and should alarm anyone considering voting for Joe Biden or who must now face the very real prospect of a Joe Biden Presidency, regardless of how they voted.

It would appear that a lot of the damage has already been done and what we are seeing is the fallout, i.e., the Department of Justice appears non-functional, the alphabet agencies are complicit in the takedown, the government and mainstream media no longer even pretend to operate within the constraints of U.S. Constitution - one party having open disdain for the Republic
It's the corruption and lies and Biden being a puppet and in China's pockets that make him unsuitable to be a leader of the free world.

47 years in government and he has done nothing notable - and has used his position to enrich himself and his family.

On the other hand - Trump has done lots of good and more in 47 months than Biden has done in his entire career. Biden is horrible little weasel - and not worthy to hold any position in government, never mind the leader of the free world.
 
An eloquent argument, concise yet invokes a myriad of emotions in such a short form.

And the epitome of what is wrong with the US. "Them" and "Us", and "Them" are all evil because "Us" never do any wrong.

Your mum must be so proud of her son
But I'm right.
 
The thing with the right is - we don't take kindly to bullies and intimidation and are likely to get our revenge one way of the other. I don't care how long it takes me to right a wrong - 6 hours/6 days/6 weeks/6 years - if someone does me a wrong turn I will get my vengeance + some added vengeance just to send a message. I am sure there are many other people the same as me. Mercy is for the weak and simple minded.
I believe in the Balance of the universe - yin and yang, if someone does a bad turn, someone needs to balance that up.....those leftys will get what's coming to them.
Vengeance, or revenge are primordial emotions unique to humans, as is Schaudenfreude and for Mercy, I see the left and far right as people ideologically possessed and to be pitied, as generally you reap what you sow.
 
In-laws: Florida.

Friends:
NYC, Nevada, Massachusetts, California, Virginia and Texas.
Not exactly deep red states, and it depends on what part of Texas. Your mates in NYC and Mass would be considered RINO’s.

Just by chance how many deep red states have you been to?

Do you understand why many people are concerned with the direction the Dems have taken?
 

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