You asked a question and I replied.So... what number of projected deaths in any year will from now on equal lockdown measures?
More than 32,000 presumably, as we ignored that number in a recent 'flu season.
As to your new question, I am not in a position to answer that question and I don't believe anyone on here is. At this moment in time we are dealing with an unknown, by unknown I mean a new strain of virus which could have the potential to make the numbers you ask about look pretty low.
To date, worldwide, the number of deaths due to Covid-19 have surpassed the numbers you mention above.