South American arms race?

Alsacien

MIA
Moderator
#1
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/8256686.stm

With the Russians agreeing to help Chavez go nuke last year, and the French signing military deals with Brazil, a merry old mess is developing, even the Chinese have fingers in the pie......
Guyana is strategic to the French, Russians are kicking back at the Nato expansion issue, and the Americans will back anyone who is not a commie.....

Will it kick off?
 
#2
More likely to be the Far East - all the nations around the Indian Ocean are arming up like crazy, what for? They all trade with each other and would appear to have no reason to look for a scrap.
 
#3
Alsacien said:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/8256686.stm

With the Russians agreeing to help Chavez go nuke last year, and the French signing military deals with Brazil, a merry old mess is developing, even the Chinese have fingers in the pie......
Guyana is strategic to the French, Russians are kicking back at the Nato expansion issue, and the Americans will back anyone who is not a commie.....

Will it kick off?
No. Brazil needs the gear it has ordered to replace stuff it has that is past its use-by date. Unless Chavez tries to to start a war with Colombia to make himself look big at home in the run-up to the late 2012 election, there is no real prospect of war anywhere in S. America for any reason.
 
#4
mnairb said:
More likely to be the Far East - all the nations around the Indian Ocean are arming up like crazy, what for? They all trade with each other and would appear to have no reason to look for a scrap.
It's a reaction to the Chinks looking as they're creating the conditions to deploy serious Naval forces with deep water ports across the Indian Ocean trade routes and moving for as direct control as they can get of resources in Africa. Every single Chinese funded extraction project in West Africa is run and manned by the Chinese and benefits China ONLY.

AS you can image the South East Asian States are VERY nervous of future Chinese intentions.
 

Alsacien

MIA
Moderator
#5
Kitmarlowe said:
mnairb said:
More likely to be the Far East - all the nations around the Indian Ocean are arming up like crazy, what for? They all trade with each other and would appear to have no reason to look for a scrap.
It's a reaction to the Chinks looking as they're creating the conditions to deploy serious Naval forces with deep water ports across the Indian Ocean trade routes and moving for as direct control as they can get of resources in Africa. Every single Chinese funded extraction project in West Africa is run and manned by the Chinese and benefits China ONLY.

AS you can image the South East Asian States are VERY nervous of future Chinese intentions.
For two of the three Latin American members of Apec, Peru and Chile, China has become a crucial trading partner.
China and Cuba also signed agreements on economical and technical cooperation (although nothing new there).
According to UN figures, in 2007 nearly 40% of Chile's exports went to the Asia-Pacific region, mostly China. For Peru, the figure was 19%.
 
#6
Every single Chinese funded extraction project in West Africa is run and manned by the Chinese and benefits China ONLY.
So?

The Chinese have found a gap in the market, dealing with unsavoury regimes the west won't deal with i.e. the Sudan, Angola etc A nice bit of Realpolitick and prudent foreign policy/economic policy. They need the resources to fund their massive growth from somewhere.
 

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