Somaliland-the next flashpoint?

#1
An interesting article on the BBC website outlines a new potential flashpoint in the Gulf conflict between on one side Qatar and Turkey and on the other side the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia,

How the crisis in the Gulf could spread to East Africa

Although not recognised as an independent country, Somaliland is (IMHO) a reasonably well-run country.

Another isneresting point is Turkey's military involvement in Africa. How this will play out in the years to come could be interesting. Turkey also has troops based in Qatar.
 
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#3
What will China do about the Chinese citizens living in Somalialand ?
There don't seem to be many countries in Africa where there are not Chinese citizens.

China is on the sidelines in the Gulf conflict between Qatar and the UAE, so in theory their citizens in Somaliland should not face an increased threat.

As is well known China is very well entrenched next door in Djibouti.
 
#4
When I worked in TFG a few years back: Somaliland was the most stable country out of all the autonomous states in Somalia due to Turkish investment.
They were everywhere funding everything and the money flowed and it was far more stable/safer than Mog and Garowe.
If things go tits the Turks are not going to be happy as they've invested loads there but aren't they currently allied with Russia?
It wouldn't surprise me in the slightest if it all goes wrong very,very soon.
 
#5
What will China do about the Chinese citizens living in Somalialand ?
They could just move them over the border to their new shiny base in Djibouti.
They probably wouldn't bother though... Chinese don't do airlifts for their own people, it's just the way they are and it's accepted by the Chinese workers as just the way it is.
A completely different perspective on life.
 
#6
An interesting article on the BBC website outlines a new potential flashpoint in the Gulf conflict between on one side Qatar and Turkey and on the other side the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia,

How the crisis in the Gulf could spread to East Africa

Although not recognised as an independent country, Somaliland is (IMHO) a reasonably well-run country.

Another isneresting point is Turkey's military involvement in Africa. How this will play out in the years to come could be interesting. Turkey also has troops based in Qatar.
Just in...Some coincidental timing going on.
US to establish two military bases in eastern Syria as tensions with Turkey rise
 
#7
#8
How the crisis in the Gulf could spread to East Africa

Well,well, well.
So the entry to the Red Sea (ie passage of 75% of Europe's oil, 10% worlds sea trade) will have PRC in Djib and Ru just in Somaliland?
What a scenario for the US and Europe to ponder over

Moscow May Recognize Breakaway Somaliland Republic To Open A Base – OpEd
Eurasia Review (Published: 10-Apr 2018 0:56, Received: 1:03:02)


Russia hopes to open a 1500-man naval base in the breakaway republic of Somaliland in the horn of Africa, a region where numerous countries have done so in recent years because of its strategic location.
But in exchange, Africa sources say, the Somaliland leadership expects Russia to recognize its independence from Somalia.
If that happens, Moscow, which under Vladimir Putin has recognized two breakaway republics on the territory of the former Soviet space and promoted secessionist movements in Europe and the United States, would send a powerful signal that it is now prepared to get involved with secessionist groups in Africa, which are both numerous and troublesome.

And that more than the extent to which such a base would challenge other countries including the United States and China which have military facilities in the horn could open the way to even greater Russian adventurism, especially coming on the heels of Russian intervention in the Central African Republic.
According to reports in the Moscow media this week, Russian diplomats began talking with the breakaway government at the end of last year about the possibility of establishing a base in Somaliland and are close to an agreement (newizv.ru/news/society/09-04-2018/rossiya-razmestit-voennuyu-bazu-v-nepriznannom-gosudarstve-na-territorii-somali and iarex.ru/news/57044.html).
The base would be home for two minesweepers, four frigates, and two submarines, a reflection of Russia’s inability to build larger ships. It would also have two long runways capable of handling up to six military transport jets and 15 fighters, the Russian media say. Moscow reportedly has offered 250 million US dollars in investment.
Somaliland in turn wants official Russian recognition and has not been shy about talking about that in the media. Whether the republic will get that remains to be seen, especially as one country – the UAE – already has a base there but has not officially recognized the breakaway republic.
Moscow, however, has shown itself more than willing to violate the international rules of the game; and consequently, it may be quite prepared to shake things up by taking this step, especially as that likely would allow Russia to claim a military presence there without having to spend money it does not now have.


NewsEdge
 
#9
I start to get the idea Turky's days in NATO could be numbered...........

On a similar vein, it was reported the US military have been denied permission to establish a bese in Ghana after protests.

US denied establishing Military base in Ghana
Bollocks.


Turkey is not leaving NATO anytime soon and no Ally is seriously asking them to leave.

They've been very supportive of Saturday's coalition strikes against Syrian VW capabilities.
 

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