whitecity
LE
I don't think any of us in the thread know for certain what's actually happening.
Nobody on this planet knows all the details.
Some who have put in an effort, or have access to data not available to the public, have a far better idea than most.
I think the common ground is that most here want Russia to lose, and to do so as quickly as possible, at enough cost to dissuade them from trying this expedition again for many many years.
Ukraine needs help from people prepared to act and/or prepared to accept the consequences of doing what is necessary.
Wanting Russia to lose, and wanting them to lose as quickly as possible, is as much help to Ukraine as a chocolate teapot.