Th NHS is what it is. It's been a political battlefield for years. There are no what ifs in this game. Controlling the lock down is key, turning the tap on and off. This is one area where politics has interfered with Scientific advise. For instance during the 1918-19 Flu, Woodrow Wilsons Government kept the schools open, and found it was a good way to monitor the population. This is being used by the Swedish Government, while others are going by WHO protocols, that advocate quick lock down to stop spreading, but risk an out of control surge once restrictions are relaxed.
The 1918-19 Flu pandemic is our best case to look at for this. There are already parallels to it in the numbers of deaths that have happened, due to cultural and religious issues. Only then it was spread by ships, rather than Aircraft , making the flash to bang much shorter now that before.
Anyone that is interested in this (1918-19 Pandemic) I would Recommend the book "Pale Rider" by Laura Spinney as it not only covers the Pandemic in a way that a layman (Like myself) can understand. But looks at it from the world view, rather than (As other books on the subject) just the US or European experience, from where the most accurate data is known. Again as a bit of context The 1918- 19 Flu is believed to have killed as many as 50 to 100 million, manly in its more deadly second wave, where it killed the young and strong, by triggering a reaction in their immune systems.
SARs-C2 /COVID- 19 is this seasons big thing, but we have seen it before, just not in are own life times. I predict that there will be PHD thesis for years to come about it, from dealing with it. But also to the effect of media such as Walking Dead, 28 Days later Et Al on the psychological reaction of the public to the crises.
Face masks have little effect in a general population. They have some important effect only if there is close face to face contact, for example, between a nurse or medic and a patient where both should wear a mask. This is because the mask can catch droplets which are the main transmission route of the virus. However, these droplets do not travel far. What can hang in the air are tiny micro aerosols which do not survive very long and in any event, these can penetrate masks.Slightly different topic but the British Government are now recommending that the wearing of face masks by the general public is not going to help:
From bbc co.uk : Asked whether face masks were effective, England's deputy chief medical officer Prof Jonathan Van-Tam said "there is no evidence that general wearing of face masks by the public who are well affects the spread of the disease in our society"
Strange thing is the Americans have a very different opinion:
Soooo who is to say who is right and who is wrong?
Either way I have stopped looking for a respirator and am staying at home...
Has carrying a bell and calling out "Unclean !" seen a resurgence in the UK ?Wearing a mask in public areas where social distancing is practiced will not have any effect. The common sight of people in Asian countries wearing masks in public began years ago as a response to smog generated by other industrial and domestic behaviours. Thde particles released by the virus are entirely different - but old habits tend to emerge as modern myths.
That ought to be a hint that the Army doesn't really care about you using up your leave entitlement when there's a war on.I've always thought entitling it "Survive to Fight" and not "Survive long enough to go on holiday next year" indicated the kit wasn't as good as the DS seemed to think...
The Russian army fully supports its soldiers taking their full leave entitlement whether there’s a war or not. They even encourage them to travel by allowing personal use of vehicles - lorries, tanks, missile launchers - if you just happen to kick off a war and annexe a neighbouring country while you’re at it then so be itThat ought to be a hint that the Army doesn't really care about you using up your leave entitlement when there's a war on.