Although I beleive it would be naive to think it were just the US who are benefitting. Interesting point on Russian oil though, hadn't really considered that. So... the oil and arms industries.
However, without wanting to get too left wing and radical I beleive this campaign to be an ideal recruiting ground for Hezbollah. I would imagine that even those people in Lebanon who tolerate the tit for tat battle between Hezbollah and Israel will get a little upset when their house is levelled, their familes and friends killed etc. and would be more inclined to associate Israel with death and destruction of their way of life. At the most basic level, mankind has a survival mechanism and if the people of Lebanon do link Israel with death they are surely going to be more inclined to stave off the 'problem' be that through traditional political means, or more likely through terrorist/freedom fighting activities.
So in summary, no one *really* benefits except a few big businesses.
But Iran and Syria also used those six years to provide satellite communications and some of the worldâs best infantry weapons, including modern, Russian-made antitank weapons and Semtex plastic explosives, as well as the training required to use them effectively against Israeli armor.
It is Hezbollahâs skillful use of those weapons â in particular, wire-guided and laser-guided antitank missiles, with double, phased explosive warheads and a range of about two miles â that has caused most of the casualties to Israeli forces.
Hezbollahâs Russian-made antitank missiles, designed to penetrate armor, have damaged or destroyed Israeli vehicles, including its most modern tank, the Merkava, on about 20 percent of their hits, Israeli tank commanders at the front said.
Syria has also given Hezbollah its most sophisticated antitank weapons, sold to the Syrian Army by Russia.
Those, General Kuperwasser said, include the Russian Metis and RPG-29. The RPG-29 has both an antitank round to better penetrate armor and an anti-personnel round. The Metis is more modern yet, wire-guided with a longer range and a higher speed, and can fire up to four rounds a minute.
Some Israelis say they believe that Syria has provided Hezbollah with the Russian-made Kornet, laser-guided, with a range of about three miles, which Hezbollah may be holding back, waiting for Israel to move farther into southern Lebanon and extend its supply lines.
Despite Israeli complaints to Moscow, âRussia just decided to close its eyes,â a senior Israeli official said.
Whilst the world is focused on Lebanon, and everyone jumping on Israels back, Iran are quietly building up their Nuclear programme and laughing to themselves as the whole region de-stabilises, when at the right moment they can pounce. Iran is quite happy to fund and support continued aggression in the region
As a footnote, why are there 11 votes and 2 responses?
but I think the short term the biggest benefactors of this war are going to be Hezbollah and Islamist style parties - when you have figures like Aoun praising the resistance - Hezbollah are winning.
I think you could see some sort alliance emerging between Amal and Hezbollah and secularist and other parties after this will be loathed to criticise Hezbollah. The growth of Hezbollah politically will out weigh any loss of military power.
Iran also comes out in a better position, the French and others are fuming with rage (because shock horror, there are other interests in the Middle East other than the Americans) and I think if anything Lebanon will move away from the American sphere.
China, I think could be another winner via their battle with the Americans for Energy. Wouldn't be surprised if the Chinese start take an interest in Lebanon.
The Lebanese people - (screwed by all sides)
The USA - Miscalculated spectacularly - Iran has not been weakened, Syria has not disengaged from Iran. Energy prospects are as bleak as ever. Also its allies: the so called 'moderates' (Don't know how Saudi can ever be considered to be moderate but that's another thing altogether) their anti-Shi'ite rhetoric failed, their populaces swung the other way and they were forced to modify their position.
Saudi Arabia - Saudi influence in Lebanon has been hurt by the war.
France - The old colonial power looks foolish.
The Israelis - I think are neither winners or losers in this because I think they at the present moment they are not interested in any sort of comprehensive peace settlement and won't win economically from the destruction of Lebanon. But they will continue to be the strongest power in the ME and will continue to have the backing of America.
You are absolutely right. It is my poor English. Of course, rather Israel (along with USA) is a benefactor that makes a gift to Hezbollah and Iran that are beneficiaries. And Russia is (though without intention) a beneficiary too.
I think clearly one side has been fighting a tactical war with no short or long term strategy, while the other has been fighting a strategic war with whatever tactical ability was available. Accepting that it can be argued that both groups of combatants have been acting as proxy forces for nations if not ideological outlooks, it is clear one side has benefitted in it aims while one has failed. It will be interesting to see how the losing side will make up lost ground, metaphorically. The war for hearts and minds in the region that was being lost progessively has just been surrendered.