You should be able to guess with BDH's outing skills, but let's just say you're not far off. Still, he's got another 4 or 5 looks so don't be surprised in the future. I don't think he'd do too badly actually, we had our differences years ago, but he's doing well in his current post by all accounts.
I for one really giggled!! Tried to make a couple of "consilation" phone calls - strangely enough the lines were engaged. I hope one of those NOT selected remembers where his stated loyalty doesnt lie. But hey ho, always next year.