Up until only a few months ago the Obama administration was apparently fully committed to a long-standing pledge with both Poland and the Czech Republic, to site a missile defence shield and early warning radar system in their respective countries. Both countries had been promised generous American dollars to help reconstruct their economies and extensive re-equipping and re-training programs for their armies; contracts had been signed and firm handshakes exchanged. But something has now happened and this agreement has been abruptly aborted. America has taken a huge political risk and alienated and infuriated two of its most ardent and closest backers. Even more astonishingly, to the chagrin of Poland in particular, America seems to have taken a giant stride towards a traditionally troublesome and often diametrically opposed former enemy â Russia. Why would the Obama administration risk alienating such firm friends and jeopardizing such crucial partnerships in these unstable and uncertain times? Hereâs what I think the answer is: We are preparing for War with Iran and a giant game of geo-political high-stakes chess is being played out before our eyes. For many years Russia has been deeply stung and offended at the prospect of its former satellite nation Poland, now increasingly powerful in its own right, housing a state-of-the-art defence shield on its soil. Russia views it as an affront to its superpower status and a direct threat to its national security, should a confrontation ever arise, which is an unlikely prospect but worrying to them none the less. For many years now Russia has enjoyed a close and productive relationship with IRAN, furnishing them with scientific assistance in their nuclear program and investing heavily in their industries and businesses. And of course, the fact that this irritates the Americanâs has at times been a useful and relatively harmless way to nip at their heels and make life difficult for them. But all of a sudden this is no longer a childish game and both Russia and America have decided to up the stakes a little and clarify their positions. We must ask ourselves why and take a long view. Hereâs my possible take on events: America needs to know that if it and the Israelis attack Iran, Russia will not respond in a HOSTILE fashion that could lead to massive confrontation. So in order to clear the way for the impending action it firsts needs to pacify and sort out its problems regarding Iran with Russia. Hereâs how the conversation might have developed, please excuse the lame and truncated dialogue; itâs late and Iâm tired: PRESIDENT OBAMA: âVladimir, I need to speak to you as a man and I need to know your intentions regarding our mutual problem. I know that we see this from different sides, but the stakes are so high my friend, we just cannot let this escalate any more than it has to.â PRESIDENT PUTIN: âSo what are you hinting at Barrack? Speak plainly, as a man, like you say, and make your point.â OBAMA: âI know that youâre committed to Iran; I know how much money youâve put into that country and I know that itâs currency you canât afford to lose.â PUTIN: âSo what are you suggesting? Why do you need me now? Youâve never listened to me before. Take Poland for exampleâ¦â OBAMA: âI was just coming to that. You know my friend things can change quickly in our business â right? So Iâm asking you now, is there anything that I can do that will maybe make life a little easier for you back home? Oh, I know that no matter what I do youâre going to raise merry hell and call us all kinds of names. But just so long as thatâs all it is â names, rumbles, not opposition or intervention, of any sort â well, I can live with that. And the Israelis can tooâ¦â PUTIN: âTake your damned missiles out of Poland; donât like them pointing in my direction and nor do my people. We have our pride, and our history, you know?â OBAMA: âAnd in return?â PUTIN: âDo whatever the hell you want with Iran. Just donât expect me to keep quite about it. Oh I can assure you my friend Iâll raise âmerry hellâ about it at the UN, as you Americans are fond of saying. But that is all, merry hell, hot air and nothing else â just like the old days eh? Now be done with that damned missile fantasy and letâs talk of other thingsâ¦â THE MISSILE SHIELD WAS CANCELLED TO APPEASE THE RUSSIANS AND PAVE THE WAY FOR WAR WITH IRAN. THAT WAS THE PRICE OF PUTINâS PLEDGE â âMERRY HELLâ BUT NO RUSSIAN INTERVENTION.