Lots of ifs and buts on the go here there is no credible strong replacement for NS in or up for Election at Holyrood.The key is going to be what happens to "he who must be obeyed" if some of the SNP MSPs can be persuaded that if she goes so does he then a whole lot of them will vote in favour of the VONC.. Otherwise its dead in the water. Between them they just hold too much power...
Whereas, of course, pursuing an independence referendum and using ScotGov resources to do so, in the middle of a pandemic was not in the least irresponsible. Got it!
I sense that with the SNP losing members / voters, the Greens could hoover up votes from an ever more divided SNP. I wouldn't be surprised if they put the boot in.Scot Tories saying they are going to introduce a vote of no-confidence in the First Minister.
It will be very interesting to see if the Greens back her - which |I think they will thus allowing her to get off the hook. The Greens will exact a very heavy price for their support though.
Something that has crossed my mind also. Worst case scenario is the Greens get the majority of lost SNP votes (if indeed the SNP lose votes) and then still form a coalition with the SNP!I sense that with the SNP losing members / voters, the Greens could hoover up votes from an ever more divided SNP. I wouldn't be surprised if they put the boot in.
The Greens aren't as keen on Independence as they are Windypendence.
They were all over it when it 1st broke citing one of the complainers husband was an Mi5 agent only for him to turn out to be a record company man who supported independance, Always as usual someone else to blame,Apparently already Sturgeon supporters are saying "but.... but..... it was all Evans, and she's a civil servant, and that means she's run from Whitehall, so it's an English conspiracy"!?!?
Mental doesn’t even cover it.
And I said that the fact that it could not be considered or released by the inquiry (even though the original unredacted version was and is available for comparison) says much about which entity might be pulling the strings.At no point did I say anything about not being bothered by it, I said it was inadmissible to the Inquiry despite being published in January by the Spectator.
The question I originally answered was could stuff be published elsewhere. Yes it can, the example being the Spectator.
I make it only 59 non Nats.
Lib Dem 5
Others uncertain which way - 8
Ind - 3, all ex Nats who normally vote with the Nats
61 Nats incl the FM who will vote
1Presiding Officer who won't vote, I'm not sure if he has a casting vote like the Speaker in HofC but even so convention would have him vote for the FM.
If any of the Indys vote with the Nats that should see her home - given their stance in VONC up to now the Greens will probably abstain, again leaving NS home and dry.
Lots of ifs, but it's all down to the maths on the day
I can see Sillars certainly voting against her he's calling for her to resign and open letters in the papers, Inverclyde SNPcouncillors telling her to go again. I suspect the local branch phones will be in meltdown tonight.The key is going to be what happens to "he who must be obeyed" if some of the SNP MSPs can be persuaded that if she goes so does he then a whole lot of them will vote in favour of the VONC.. Otherwise its dead in the water. Between them they just hold too much power...