Regarding India I would be a bit more optimistic since the rates of increase are far from the exponential levels that would be expected if it was still at the beginning of the epidemic. I know that Delhi and Mumbai are now well past peaks and I suspect similar for other major cities. It's a nation of many thousands of small towns and villages and no way will they be able to carry out rigorous testing. I suspect it is much more advanced than officials realise.India 2 million cases but considered to be months from peak yet.
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