Libya

Grey Fox

*Russian Troll*
The G7 foreign ministers met in France on Friday in preparation for an upcoming larger G7 meeting in a few months. The meeting covered a number of issues, but one of the public statements made said that they wanted to put a lid on the current upheaval in Libya and want Haftar to stop his advance on Tripoli.
www.cbc.ca/news/world/g7-france-1.5087656?cmp=rss
He-he-he... They could try to stop him. It will be rather funny.
 

Grey Fox

*Russian Troll*
SAVE_20190407_212739.jpeg
 
LNA combined arms tactics.....[emoji848]
 
It is an interesting point of view.
www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2019-04-08/in-libya-one-of-vladimir-putin-s-many-bets-is-in-play
The strong pushback against General Khalifa Haftar’s bid to take the Libyan capital, Tripoli, endangers one of Russian President Vladimir Putin’s risky bets. But even if Haftar loses, Putin will keep seeking similar adventurers in Libya and around the world to back.
Russia’s version of great power foreign policy these days is an exercise in the art of the possible: Take a gamble on those who are themselves willing to take a gamble on Moscow’s aggressiveness and the murky economic benefits it can offer.
 
Some interesting videos claiming to show what seem to be North Americans fighting in Tripoli on this twitter account...
I can't comment on the genuineness of the video in terms of where and when it originated, but with regards to "North Americans", the guy sounds like an American, not a Canadian.
 
This should get our resident Russian trolls furiously spinning

 
Its a cracking read!
 
It’s been happening for a while, with tacit support from Egypt. They had/(have?) been operating from a base just inside Egypt. A few years ago, a Russian “tourist” rotating out from Alexandria airport forgot about some ordnance in his bag and caused quite a stir. Then it was all hushed up and he was released home.

Edited to add link:
 
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It’s been happening for a while, with tacit support from Egypt. They had/(have?) been operating from a base just inside Egypt. A few years ago, a Russian “tourist” rotating out from Alexandria airport forgot about some ordnance in his bag and caused quite a stir. Then it was all hushed up and he was released home.

"The fight against 'terrorism' is a new and promising area of cooperation between Cairo and Moscow, and both sides are interested in deepening their cooperation," Akhmetov said. "Use of Egyptian airfield infrastructure by Russian airplanes can contribute to training efforts for Egyptian pilots and military assistance." Russia expanding Middle East footprint with Egypt bases

Alexandria West Airbase from memory but I may be wrong. As an aside the Egyptians have just signed a deal for 50 SU35's and assorted MiGs to replace their F16s and Rafales.

There was a lot of chat about a relatively significant Wagner presence in the East for a bit about 18 months ago but they then kind of disappeared. Might have coresponded with them getting smashed by the spams in Syria (Kasham?).

Love the idea of a "government in a box" service. cracking business model
 
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Merkel speaking with Putin about Libya peace talks. Putin (and the Wagner gp) supporting Haftar and the LNA. Erdogan supporting the (U.N. approved) GNA:

Russian President Vladimir Putin, speaking at a joint press-conference with German Chancellor Angela Merkel in Moscow on Saturday, said it was time to hold Libya peace talks in Berlin, as it was important to end the conflict in the country.

Turkey and Russia this week urged Libya’s warring parties to declare a ceasefire on Sunday as warring factions clashed and carried out air strikes in a conflict drawing increasing foreign involvement and concern.

Merkel said at the same press-conference that Germany plans to start sending out invitations for Libya peace talks soon.
 
Some Stratfor words on the Turkish deployment to Libya (3 killed yesterday near Sirte)

TL;Dr
  • Turkey is sending troops to Libya not to engage in conflict, but to force a cease-fire.
  • Turkey's primary concerns in Libya are to pursue oil and gas interests in the Mediterranean and rally domestic support behind President Recep Tayyip Erdogan.
  • Erdogan will work with Russian President Vladimir Putin to secure a cease-fire in Libya, not only to protect Turkish interests but also to project himself as a regional actor to be dealt with.
One suspects that taking Syrian Mercs over might be risking a genie out the bottle
 
Libya; the game that everyone can apparently play. Assad is obviously confident enough of the outcome at home to be willing to expend resources thwarting the Turks elsewhere.

'London-based Al-Araby Al-Jadeed newspaper said Friday that the Syrian government would send 3,000 Syrian fighters to join in helping out Khalifa Haftar who is attacking the Libyan capital Tripoli. The transfer of the troops will take place after an expanded agreement between the Assad government and Major General Khalifa along with Egypt, the paper claims. The troops are to travel by air to Egypt and then travel via a land crossing into Libya.'

 
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