Armenia has no where to go, they are defending NK and can arguably continue to do so, for at least parts thereof. The situation and future looks convenient for Az/Turkey on a map, but Armenia sees this as an existential issue - for good reason based on past experience of Turkey.The Armenians have overplayed their hand, they should have done a deal and quit while they were ahead 25 years ao.
Sultan Erdogan the Magnificent has a plan, and he's going to see it through. He wants to reconnect the Turkic peoples, and he has the muscle to see it through.
See that pipeline?
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Imagine if there was a land corridor to Nakhchivan… it could be through secure friendly Turkic turf all the way. Oh yes, and Israeli gets 43% of its oil and Gas from Baku, unsurprisingly, they are supplying Azerbaijan their very bestest drone war toys and missiles.
Top play by Pashinyan - He's now got BOTH the regional superpowers, Turkey and Israel, on his case.
The situation in NK may shift more to an asymmetric form of fighting, given Armenian losses. Although I can't prove this, the fighting will be bloodier for Azerbaijan, and longer-lasting, than you anticipate. History provides many examples of the attempted take-over of mountainous territory being either protracted or failing.