A good summary of the issues at hand from "War on the Rocks":
Growing up, I liked listening to Freundeskreis, a German hip-hop reggae band. One of their songs asserts “history is something that was a long time ago orwarontherocks.com
(My comment: Yeah right, tell that to the Kremlin!)
The lightbulb moment - at least for the author of this piece:
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A key phrase in that is "someone else — NATO and the United States — were holding a military umbrella over us, which allowed us the luxury of discounting military might".
The problem of course is that due to factors of size and geography, Germany are the core of NATO in Europe. Germany are counting on "NATO" to hold an umbrella over them, while the rest of Europe are counting on Germany to be the ones holding the umbrella. If the German army can't hold back the Russian hordes, then I don't think the armed might of Slovenia is going to do much to tip the balance.