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Effect of UKIP

#1
From here

The incredible, untold story of the general election is the effect that UKIP (and to a lesser extent Veritas) has had on the outcome. Overall, on current results, the combined votes of these two parties affected the outcome of 25 seats which might have otherwise gone to the Tories.

They are as follows:


Battersea (Lab hold) Majority: 163 – UKIP: 333
Burton (Lab hold) Majority: 1,421 – UKIP plus Veritas: 1,825
Carshalton & Wallington (LD hold) Majority: 1,068 – UKIP: 1,111
Cornwall North (LD hold) Majority: 3,076 – UKIP plus Veritas: 3,387
Dartford (Lab hold) Majority 706 - UKIP: 1,407
Eastleigh (LD Hold) Chris Huhne Majority: 568 – UKIP: 1,669
Gillingham (Lab hold) Majority 254 – UKIP 1,191
Hereford (Lab hold) Majority: 962 – UKIP: 1,030
High Peak (Lab hold) Majority: 735 – UKIP 1,106
Hove (Lab hold) Majority 420 - UKIP 575
Medway (Lab hold) Majority: 213 - UKIP 1,488
Portsmouth North (Lab hold) Majority: 1,139 - UKIP 1,348
Romsey (LD hold) Majority 125 – UKIP: 1,076
Sittingbourne & Sheppey (Lab hold) Majority: 79 UKIP plus Veritas: 1,118
Solihull (LD Gain) Majority: 279 – UKIP: 990
Somerton & Frome (LD hold) Majority: 812 – UKIP plus Veritas: 1,531
Staffordshire Moorlands (Lab hold) Majority: 2,438 – UKIP: 3,512
Stroud (Lab hold) Majority: 350 – UKIP: 1,089
Stourbridge (Lab hold) Majority: 407 – UKIP: 1,087
Taunton (LD gain) Majority: 573 – UKIP: 1,441
Thanet South (Lab hold) Majority: 664 – UKIP (Nigel Farage) 2,079
Torbay (LD hold) Majority: 2,029 - UKIP 3,726
Warwick & Leamington (Lab hold) Majority: 306 – UKIP: 921
Watford (Lab hold) Majority: 1,148 – UKIP: 1,292
Westmorland & Lonsdale (LD gain) Majority: 267 – UKIP: 660
In all, this translates to 16 seats which would have been lost to Labour and nine to the Lib-Dems, potentially reducing Blair’s overall majority to 25 – an entirely unworkable majority.

Had UKIP (and Veritas) not intervened (or the Tories had managed the threat), the political environment would have been transformed.

For a start, Kennedy would not have been crowing about his “successes” – with his gains cut from 16 to seven, the Tories would be lauding a major victory and Labour would be thinking very hard of how it was going to survive, with Blair firmly in the departure lounge.

Amazingly, the MSM has not picked this up, but this seems to me to be the penalty the Tories are paying for neglecting the EU issue. Had Howard pushed the Tory EU policy, I believe that the UKIP/Veritas effect could have been contained, and the Tories could be 25 seats better off.

In effect, UKIP has done more damage to the Tories in this election than in all the other elections combined that it has fought and transformed the political environment.
 

ugly

LE
Moderator
#2
Ukip halved the tory majority in eastbourne and could have cost him the seat, the 1200 or so that voted for him have made their point, perhaps 1200 more would let the porridge wogs mate in and that would be a disaster. Obviously not enough UKIP appeal to the Looney democrats. Pity!
We were only visited once by a canvasser and he was the local council tory whilst I wasnt there so I was unable to ask him/her about why they are such a bunch of C%NTS
 
#3
I thought to myself last night how much damage was UKIP doing to the Tories. However, you must also consider how many people who voted Tory would not if they had been riding on a firm EU-no ticket.
 

OldSnowy

LE
Moderator
Book Reviewer
#4
Kingston-Upon Thames went Lib Dem in 1997 purely due to tactical voting, and they've never won it back. Of course, Tory HQ denied it afterwards, butI'm sad to say that my vote helped them lose it!
 
#5
And the LibDem MP in place is a fine individual. :D

Mich better than that tool Lamont.
 
#6
IdleAdjt said:
I thought to myself last night how much damage was UKIP doing to the Tories. However, you must also consider how many people who voted Tory would not if they had been riding on a firm EU-no ticket.
Possibly may have gone the other way, if they'd been more anti-EU then they might have picked up more votes, even if it was only the UKIP ones.
 

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