Discussion in 'Current Affairs, News and Analysis' started by postman_twit, Mar 7, 2010.
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The Quetta Shura moving on Hekmatyar's turf and demanding HIG members swear fealty to Mullah Omar may be simple opportunistic banditry brought on by recent management reshuffles.
On the other hand about a month ago Hekmatyar was offering (not very good) terms to Kabul. His son was off in the Maldives for talks earlier this year. For nearly half a century Hekmatyar has been notably agile in his loyalties even for an Pashtun warlord. The ISI have also scooped up senior figures who had a liaison role between HIG and the Quetta Shura, this was always an uncomfortable alliance of old enemies steeped in atrocity. The recent HIG-Taliban tussle may not be unconnected with their alliance crumbling.
Our Man in Kabul?
The sadistic Afghan warlord who wants to be our friend. by Michael Crowley
It would be interesting to know where the ISI was putting its money in this, it'll be a spread bet. Hekmatyar is an old once favored asset but was ruthlessly dropped in favor of the Taliban however as noted above he already has some political leverage in Kabul. The ISI have had the Quetta Shura in their pocket for some time but there are signs they have grown uncomfortable under the Punjabi yoke. Neither are as reliable an instrument as the brutally effective Haqqini network or Lashkar-e-Taiba for that matter.
My guess is it is Hekmatyar who has gone off reservation aiming for a prime spot at the trough in Kabul after DC draws down. Beware of an old man in hurry.
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