The metal plate in my nut is resonating! It always does this when the harbingers of doom are out and about. Facts are that the world is NOT a safer place right now, and there's an awful lot of things could very easily chuck it over the edge. North Korea is looking to start a war - they've got nothing to lose, and all indicators are that they ARE going to kick off - even Japan reckons it might want a piece of the action! We are getting no end of bad news in Afghanistan and the predictions are not good. We are losing hundreds of millions of $ worth of gear in the Khyber pass and as noted in another thread, our supply lines are fooked. We are having to kiss some serious arrse to try and open channels to new supply lines. Pakistan is on the verge of going nasty, and if it does, and we haven't got the manpower to stop it, Jihaddees are going to get nukes OR India is going to step in, OR we are, despite having no forces left to use. Iran is still after a nuke, and it WILL get it unless Israel and/or the US step in and basically start a war with the much better Russian-armed place. Russia is playing silly buggers with the West, and what we are seeing right now is merely a detente, certainly not a friendship, and if they'd just LOVE to have us by the nuts over Afghanistan (they haven't forgotten you know), and it could still go VERY wrong for us in terms of that relationship. China is rather peed off with the West at the moment, and there's no telling what they might do if it all kicks off in North Korea. They sure as hell aren't happy with the US at the moment, and there's still the outstanding issue of Taiwan . . . . On top of this, the IMF and others are now saying that we are likely to be facing the biggest dperession ever seen, globally, and that means that desperate governments will be seeking distractions from failures at home, looking for people to blame for any kind of woes, mostly financial, and of course, all the big-hitting billionaires who sway governments and who have already lost lots of billions each and stand to lose a lot more will be seeking to find a good way to recoup their losses, and we all know how much money war makes . . . . All the free money is being ripped out of stocks, bonds, notes and banks and is being converted into precious metals and stones. The only rising stocks are those of food stores (always a safe bet). The last things to increase in value will be shares in arms companies. The indicators are there, the historical prescendents back me up, the imperatives are there . . . . . . If something big doesn't kick off soon, I'll be a bit surprised. I give until June 2010. Any takers? Edited to add: scuse me splelloing.