Your analysis has been more often wrong than not, so you’ll naturally understand if people don’t pay too much attention to your proclamations of the greatness of Theresa May, the ineffectiveness of Robbins, or my personal favourite, the collapse of the EU.
politics show on bbc 2 discussing survival of PMTM.
Some say mid September for contest ( realistically can't be before as too many have buggered of overseas on holiday)
Others saying that a new PM and reshufle in September-October 2018 is far too late for anyone to sort out any sort of Brexit. On the whole pariliamnet is Pro Europe and, as seen can screw up most Brexit stuff.
The Country as a whole is effectively split 50/50 so going for a second referendum will be a total gamble.
A bit of a mess and as we get closer to 29th March 2019 Business and Money will take action on it's own. So HMG are not really in control neither do they have the backing of the Country nor UK PLC.
If the Tories are actually going to remove her, it'll be over the parliamentary break. With no business in parliament for 6 weeks, they might be able to squeak in a leadership contest and have a new leader in place before the next session of parliament.
The EU might have a say in that - if Dominic Raab comes back from Brussels with a 'your proposal is totally unworkable' message, PMTM might be put out of her misery. It's been obvious for at least 6 months that PMTM's solution will either be unacceptable to Westminster of Brussels (or both). The only question is how long the farce is allow to continue before the Tory party remove PMTM.