Prior to WWII, western Ukraine had belonged to Poland and Romania. Prior to the end of WWI, it had belonged to Austria-Hungary. Soviet control was limited to a 50 year period at most (less if we take into account the German occupation).The Polish government has to tread carefully here. The Kremlin holds the best cards. Any whiff of Polish revanchism will play straight into their hands. The substantial Polish minority in Belarus knows this. The Kremlin would dearly love to see the nationalists in the PiS government in Warsaw embroil themselves in Belarus. There are parallels here with Ukraine where several years ago Moscow would have happily ceded the far-western part of it (with all its attendant issues) to Warsaw if it meant providing a great excuse for Russian annexation of the rest. Note how the recently linked pro-Moscow blogger casually dismissed far-western Ukraine (i.e. Galicia) as unfeasible for Moscow to recover anyway. They would far rather have what they call the "Banderite" problem given over to Poland, if Warsaw were blinkered enough to take it. They were hoping to gain another "what-about factor" like the short-sighted Polish Teschen annexation in 1939.
My like is in agreement with your postulated premise not with the premise itself. This is the Muscovite version of self-restraint, consistent with the “Muscovite Mentality”.Prior to WWII, western Ukraine had belonged to Poland and Romania. Prior to the end of WWI, it had belonged to Austria-Hungary. Soviet control was limited to a 50 year period at most (less if we take into account the German occupation).
Western Belarus had been ceded to Poland by the Soviets in 1921.
Taken together, a Russian nationalist could make a reasonable case for limiting revanchist claims to areas which had historically been part of the Russian Empire, minus Poland and territory later ceded to Poland.
Of course that doesn't take into account the opinions of the Ukrainians or Belarusians, but we're talking about pre-1945 style diplomacy when forcible carve ups of other peoples' territory was a normal part of international relations.
(My Bold) I agree with you about the geographic and demographic stability. I think the danger is that an emboldened PiS (Governing Polish Political party) coupled with that folk memory of the "Kresy" and the ethnic Poles "trapped" in Belarus may make for an interesting Autumn.My like is in agreement with your postulated premise not with the premise itself. This is the Muscovite version of self-restraint, consistent with the “Muscovite Mentality”.
As for Poland, it has achieved a certain geographic and demographic stability which it should not jeopardise by coveting its former eastern territories. This from a scion of the “Kresy” who was brought up on stories of family life in what is now western Belarus.
Here we go again...........I have no idea how she managed to keep a straight face:Russia said on Thursday it was concerned by the situation in Belarus and said there were attempts by outside forces to meddle in and destabilise the country following Sunday's contested election.uk.reuters.com
“We note unprecedented pressure that is being exerted by individual foreign partners on the Belarusian authorities,” Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova said.
“We can see clear attempts of outside meddling in the internal affairs of a sovereign state to create a rift in society and destabilise the situation,” she told reporters at a briefing.
More coverage on this from Moscow Times (Independent)Just in time for the weekend.
A lot of bosses got into their factories this morning too to find the workforce have gone on strike.
As early voting is an official part of the election that’s nothing to do with your allegations of it being a sham.....
Of course so called presidential elections in Belarus are sham. 42% of voters reportedly 'voted' before the day of elections - unprecedently high number. Independent observers were not allowed to enter voting stations.....