Aussies in for 'nother HOT & DRY SUMMER

Australia Faces Weather Blitz from Warming-CSIRO

SYDNEY (Reuters) - Australia could expect more frequent droughts, heatwaves, rainstorms and strong winds because of greenhouse gas-induced climate change, the country's main science research body warned on Monday.

The report, by the federal body the Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organization, forecast a doubling of the number of hot days above 35 degrees Celsius (95.00F) over 25 years in Australia's most populous and productive state, New South Wales (NSW).

"It's really going to be living in an oven," NSW Premier Bob Carr told reporters in Sydney.

"Global warming is an imminent, serious threat -- one that can have significant costs for New South Wales. It will mean more frequent droughts, especially in winter, and more intense heavy rainstorms," he said.

Carr was announcing results of a study commissioned by the NSW government, which is hosting an International Climate Change Taskforce meeting in Sydney.

The 16-member group, brought together by think tanks, the London-based Institute for Public Policy Research, the Washington-based Center for American Progress and the Australia Institute in Canberra, is meeting on Monday and Tuesday to produce recommendations by early next year on ways to reduce greenhouse warming.

A key aim is to gain the cooperation of Australia and the United States, which both refused to sign up to the Kyoto Protocol (news - web sites), an international agreement that set targets for reduction of greenhouse gas emissions.

Under a worst-case scenario the frequency of drought could increase by 70 percent in New South Wales by 2030, the CSIRO study warned. NSW, the most heavily populated of Australia's states, has the biggest city of Sydney as its capital and is one of the nation's most important agricultural areas.

The worst-case scenario also predicts most of the state, where many country centers now have roughly an average 20 days a year above 35 degrees Celsius (95 Fahrenheit), may have up to double that amount by 2030. Some spots of the state, such as Walgett in the northwest, may have as many as 150 days above that temperature by 2070.

The number of days above 40 degrees Celsius (104.00F) for Walgett would rise from nine at present to 23 by 2030 and to 83 by 2070 on a worst-case scenario.

Sydney's present three days a year of more than 35 degrees would double to six by 2030 and rise further to 18 by 2070 on the worst-case scenario.

On best-case predictions, some key cropping areas, such as Gunnedah in the state's northwest, will only have 22 days above 35 degrees by 2035 and 29 by 2070, compared with the present 19.

The study also says that while much of the state shows a tendency for drier seasons under increased greenhouse conditions, heavy rainstorms may also become more frequent.

"There's only one way to avoid this worrying bundle of problems -- cut greenhouse gas emissions," Carr said.

Clive Hamilton, executive director of the Australia Institute, said it was important the taskforce produced recommendations that allowed the United States and Australia to join efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.

Carr said trading markets in emissions were an important regulatory tool and that Australian states were examining establishing them.

The taskforce is focusing on presenting recommendations to British Prime Minister Tony Blair, who will head the G8 group of leading nations and the European Union in 2005.

The taskforce is being co-chaired by Stephen Byers, a British Labour member of parliament and a former cabinet minister in the Blair government, and U.S. Republican Senator Olympia Snowe.

It includes representatives from Australia, the United States, Malaysia, France, Switzerland, Brazil and China.

Climate is what you expect. Weather is what you get!


oh yeah...for local wx down-under:

(Looks to be an active fire season too)
You're joking, fecking weather people can't get the forcast right for the end of the week let alone the end of the decade. :twisted:
Doomed. we're all doomed. It's a hot country, always has been always will be. Err until the next ice age. Served at the School If Inf in Aus for 2 years 81-82 and it didn't rain once in that 2 years. It was as dry as a Nuns Cnut.
WTF, lived on the Sunshine (sic) Coast early 99, got 6 metres (20ft) of rain in 6 months, you could have got a duck stuck! :lol:

Certainly a land of contrasts, and fcuking mozzies :twisted:
First time I was here in 2000 I think it rained 3 times in 6 months. This time it seems to rain every second day at the moment.

Still a damn sight warmer than blighty... :p Bondi for beers later I think, just as everyone back home goes to work :twisted:
By the way everyone keeps saying the polar caps are melting but when will we see sealevel rise. High tide mark is the same as it was when I was a nipper more than 40 years ago.
Welcome to ABoMrrse – The Australain Bureau of Meteorology Rumour Service.

An exciting web page for all interested in the Australian weather bought to you by The Australian Bureau of Meteorology and Weatherman 1956.

:roll: :roll: :roll: :roll: :roll: :roll: :roll: :roll: :roll:
I was watching a program a week or so ago. In the future a country that will have the most power in the world will have the most water.

Oil will no longer hold the world to ransom, it will be water.
Dunno what they're on about, it's been raining here in Canberra almost solid for a month.
SMiller said:
Dunno what they're on about, it's been raining here in Canberra almost solid for a month.
Serves you right for being there :D Canberra is actually the antipodean version of Hull, caused by some wierd inverse coriolis effect ........or not.:) :) :)
Canberra is the political capital of Australia, an arrse-wipe of a place and it is entirely right and proper that weather there should swing from one extreme to another hopefully making the lives of our politicians and their spawn, horrible.
Whew... this thread is about the weather in OZland..!!

sigh...for a moment I thought the Aussie supply of Fosters had been nuked by Al Queda or something leaving the land down under hot and dry..

.now that would have been a crisis.

.no one ever wants to see an Australian without access to beer..

but, the weather.. that's all right then.. blame it on El Nino or something and get back to the bar...
The Bureau of Meterology could not find the forecast with both hands and a torch. The old system of sticking their heads out the window and assessing visually worked better than when they decided that bringing in all the "machines that go ping" would be an improvement.

It is either chucking it down or dry as a nuns nasty but twice as sticky :wink:

As for Cant-bear-a all i can say is DON'T MENTION THE WAR lmao :lol:

I thought you said it was gonna be hot? 104°? Folks here in Phoenix are out joggin when it's 104!? 8O

Bean, I know you Firebirds amuse yourselves by dropping eggs on the sidewalk and giggle while they fry.

At 40 degrees celsius (104 F) WE DO loosen our top buttons here in

(212 F) Water Boils. Death Valley residents put on deodorant.

(327 F) Lead Boils. Aussies notice it is warm out.

(345 F) Saharans comment that the sand is a little stingy today.

(400 F) Camels die.

(2000 F) Nuclear blast nominal yield.

Who really knows what could happen when the bath water swirls the wrong way down the drain?

Me? I'm bidding on the contract for NZ WX Bureau when it comes down.


Nine dead, three missing after Australia's worst bushfires in 20 years

ADELAIDE, Australia (AFP) - Three people remain missing as Australia begins a massive cleanup operation after its worst bushfires in more than 20 years killed at least nine, among them children, police said.

Fire crews had finally contained the blaze that ravaged the rural and remote Eyre Peninsula in South Australia state, as residents complained of inadequate preparations and early estimates put the damage bill at millions of dollars.

In the past few days fires in the state have razed around 80,000 hectares (198,000 acres) of bush and farmland, destroying homes, farms, cars and caravans, while more have burnt out of control in Victoria, killing livestock.

Police told AFP Thursday that three people remained missing in South Australia as well as the nine confirmed dead, most of them burnt to death in their cars as they tried to flee.

More than 100 people were injured and thousands of sheep and cattle were dead or badly burnt.

South Australia state Premier Mike Rann announced six million dollars (4.6 million US) in aid for the stricken region and was expected to overfly the damage during the day, with early estimates putting the cost around 15 million dollars.

Water supplies were disrupted after the region's main pipe was damaged. Thousands of litres (gallons) in bottles was trucked in to the main town of Port Lincoln and it was expected to be three weeks before supplies were restored.

"Obviously there is a big job ahead and I'm heartened to have seen work commencing on the ground," Rann said, rejecting as "outrageous" criticism of the operation to tackle the blaze.

Fire service spokesman John Gawen said more than 100 personnel were out overnight in dozens of fire trucks ensuring all hot spots were out.

"The weather was on their side," Gawen said. "There was no wind throughout the night.

"We don't expect to have any flare ups and we have more crews heading in."

High winds and temperatures in excess of 40 degrees Celsius helped spark the fires in bush already tinder dry after a long drought. The fires raged for more than two days along a front at times several kilometres (miles) long.

An unknown number of homes were left without essential services and people left homeless were given refuge in cinemas and other public buildings, while some fled to the sea for safety.

The fires also hit the state capital Adelaide, and were Australia's worst since the Ash Wednesday bush blaze of 1983 which claimed 75 lives.

Similar conditions in the eastern state of New South Wales provoked fears of a separate outbreak there, and extra fire crews and water-bombing aircraft were placed on standby in high-risk areas.

Fire bans remained in force for much of the state and a number of small fires were reported.

In the capital Canberra, where four people were killed by fire two years ago, a 36-hour fire ban was also imposed after a drop in humidity and strong winds in temperatures approaching 40 degrees Celsius.

Fcuking bushfires, almost makes you want to move to somewhere wet and miserable...
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