Cheers again comrade TommyThe rough school of mathematics:-
COIN - force density of 20 soldiers per 1000 civvies, if you want to run a rules based police operation.
Defending the Baltics - Military speaking a minimum force of at least 3 Brigades to support the local forces and RAND actually mentioned 7 Brigades. Given the UK has a single battalion group and NATO managed a single brigade in total, so whatever deterrence was intended. The force composition is insufficient and is not a serious attempt to defend the baltics.
1. Even our big brains are absolutely certain that Russia will not invade. (proof: the tiny forces deployed).
2. The UK simply doesn't have the forces anymore to do anything, but participate at a minor level.
3. Russia seems to have keyed in on a basic principle that much of europes population is unrepresented and democracy is a sham, to deliver different governments and the same policy. So Russia won't do anything but nudge and wait, confident that time is working for them.