There was a good article in the Mail on Sunday today by Peter Dobbie entitled "Blair's away with the fairies...and the men in white coats are coming." It looked at his Parkinson revelation about the direct line he apparently has to God, whose fault Iraq was...etc.... Apparently the Parky outing was a "personal relaunch" of Blair, who has a "psychological problem" over the issue of giving up power, to such an extent that he may not stand down at the next election. So, assuming that Bliar will cling limpet-like to his diminishing office, how will he be evicted? I foresee a number of scenarios: 1. A matter of significant political controversy (education, terrorism legislation or ID cards) splits the parliamentary Labour party to the extent that his position is untenable. 2. His eviction at the hands of the Labour party, perhaps shortly before or during the 2007 party conference or in the runup to a general election, after a disastrous showing in the local elections, an increasingly unpopular military policy in Iraq/Afghanistan and more sleaze revelations about Jowell and others. 3. His eviction by Brown after he finally realises that Bliar intends to go on and on and on.... 4. A terrorist atrocity occurs in the UK and creates a major political controversy focusing on the danger to the UK arising from its blind support of the US and the ineffectiveness and misdirected authoritarianism of government anti-terrorism policy. A public clamour calls for his resignation. 5. Bliar decides to follow Dubya into invading or bombing Iran or Syria. There is massive public uproar that dwarfs the 2003 "Stop the War" demonstrations and Bliar responds by ordering a police crackdown using the same-old "terrorist" excuse. The dissent spirals out of control, the police cannot cope and people are shot, a curfew is imposed. Perhaps a general strike is called. Bliar stands down either of his own volition or, more likely, after being locked in a room and told he is't leaving until he resigns by some "men in suits" (politicians or senior civil servants) who wish to forestall a major constitutional calamity.