Originally Posted by MikeMcc
In other words, having being called out for posting a bullshite nerve gas analogy, you've just spat your dummy out.
Originally Posted by MikeMcc
In other words, having being called out for posting a bullshite nerve gas analogy, you've just spat your dummy out.
We are Anonymous. We are Legion. We do not forgive. We do not forget. Expect us.
"It costs money to have children...if you don't have any....then don't have them. It is THAT simple. "
Copenhagen climate summit: Blindfolds are hiding the crucial issues at Copenhagen
It is now obvious that the science behind rising CO2 levels is far from settled, writes Christopher Booker.
By Christopher Booker
Published: 6:47PM GMT 08 Dec 2009
Comments 119 | Comment on this article
An iceberg is pictured in Ilulissat fjord in Greenland Photo: Reuters
As we are engulfed from all sides by suffocatingly one-sided coverage of the Copenhagen conference on climate change, three hugely important issues have been largely stuffed away from sight.
The first of these is the matter of cost: the scarcely believable bill our politicians wish to land us with as the price of their proposals to meet the supposed threat of global warming. Few people have even begun to take on board the astronomic scale of the sums involved – the International Energy Agency talks blithely of $45 trillion - because on this politicians and media have in recent days remained more than ever silent.
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Already under last year’s Climate Change Act - on the Government’s own figures – we in Britain alone are committed to shell out £18 billion every year from now until 2050. That is £725 for every household in the land, which we will all have to pay in rocketing energy bills and regulatory costs, crippling ‘green’ taxes on everything from cars to airline tickets, subsidies to windfarms and heaven knows what else.
But even this may look like a gross underestimate when we realise that it is now the law of the land that, over the same 40 years, Britain must cut its emissions of carbon dioxide by a staggering 80 percent or more. Not a single one of the 463 MPs who nodded through the Climate Change Act, with only three voting against, could have begun to explain in practical terms how this target could be met.
Short of an as-yet undreamed of technological revolution, this could not possibly be achieved without closing down not just most of our transport system and electricity supplies but virtually all of our current economic activity.
What is being proposed at Copenhagen is that not dissimilar measures should be imposed on every country in the developed world, threatening to transform our existing way of life out of all recognition.
The second very important question which has received nothing like enough attention over what is happening in Copenhagen is how the politicians can hope to get round the yawning gap between the richer nations of the West and those developing nations led by China, India, Brazil and South Africa, with some of the fastest-growing economies in the world.
It is this seemingly unbridgeable gulf, at the heart of the international debate since the Kyoto Protocol in 1997, which has led even the organisers of the conference publicly to voice doubts that they will get the universally binding treaty they are after.
The Western nations want everyone to sign up to crippling targets for reducing their CO2 emissions (China having already overtaken the US as the world’s biggest emitter). But the developing countries argue that, since the ‘CO2 problem’ is historically all our fault, as the countries which led the way to industrialisation, there is no way they can agree to any binding targets until they have been allowed to catch up economically with the West.
The best they can offer is that, in order to bribe them to make at least token gestures towards curbing their own carbon emissions, we in the developed countries should pay them hundreds of billions of dollars a year - at the very moment when we ourselves are accepting targets designed to make our own economies progressively very much less productive.
In other words, as we are faced with yet another colossal bill, their own economies will continue to forge ahead, pouring out so much CO2 that the global level will almost certainly continue to rise, All of which leads round to the third hugely important issue which those organising the Copenhagen conference are only too anxious to brush aside – the inescapable fact that the science on which all this frenzy of activity is based has recently begun to look considerably shakier than it did only a few years ago.
The first thing any of us in the West need to be sure of, as we face by far the largest bill in the history of the world, is that the science being used to justify this is 100 percent reliable.
Ultimately the whole case for a Copenhagen treaty rests on the projections of the computer models relied on by the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (the IPCC). These show that, as CO2 levels continue to rise, so temperatures must follow, leading inexorably to catastrophe - unless mankind takes the most drastic action to cut down on its emissions of CO2.
But as more and more eminent scientists have recently been pointing out, the only reason why the computer models predict that rising CO2 must cause temperatures to rise is that this is what they were programmed to show.
What world-ranking physicists such as Professor Richard Lindzen of MIT and Professor Will Happer of Princeton have been arguing is that the models are fatally flawed because they do not take proper account of all sorts of other factors which play a key part in shaping the world’s climate - such as shifts in ocean currents, the effects of magnetic activity on the sun and the ‘feedback’ from clouds and water vapour, far and away the most important greenhouse gas in our atmosphere, which counteracts any impact from the rise in CO2.
The greatest ally this growing army of ‘sceptical’ scientists can point to is what has actually been happening to the climate in recent years. No one can predict with certainty where temperatures will be in 100 years time, But the one thing that is indisputable is that, as CO2 levels continue to rise, the trend in global temperatures has not recently been rising as the computer models predicted, but has been flattening out and even dropping.
In other words, it becomes increasingly clear that the models were wrong - because their programming was biased according to a theory which now looks ever more questionable. Yet it is on their projections that the world is now faced with by far the most expensive set of measures ever proposed by politicians in history.
For months in the run-up to Copenhagen we have been subjected to an unremitting bombardment of scare stories: how the ice caps and glaciers are melting much faster than predicted, how sea levels will rise much higher than anyone imagined, how we face ever more hurricanes, droughts, floods and heatwaves.
Yet every time one of these scares is subjected to proper objective scientific examination it can be found either that these disasters are not happening as claimed or that they have been exaggerated far in advance of anything the evidence can justify.
The importance of Copenhagen is that we are at last arriving at the moment of truth. On one hand we are waking up to the scarcely imaginable cost of what our politicians are proposing, just when on the other the reliability of the evidence on which all this is based is being called into question more than ever before.
Despite our having for years been assured by politicians from Al Gore to President Obama that ‘the science is settled’, it is now obvious that it is nothing of the kind. Not least has this been confirmed by ‘Climategate’ and the leak of that ‘dodgy dossier’ from the East Anglia Climatic Research Unit, for years at the centre of driving the scare over global warming as the most influential source of temperature data in the world. Far from Copenhagen being the end of the debate, the real debate is only just beginning.
Christopher Booker’s The Real Global Warming Disaster: Is The Obsession With ‘Climate Change’ Turning Out To Be The Most Costly Scientific Blunder In History’ (Continuum, £16.99) is available from Telegraph Books for £14.99 plus £1.25 p&p. To order call 0844 871 1416 or go to books.telegraph.co.uk
We are Anonymous. We are Legion. We do not forgive. We do not forget. Expect us.
"It costs money to have children...if you don't have any....then don't have them. It is THAT simple. "
Originally Posted by MikeMcc
Nothing 'interesting' at all…
A Scientific journal that's been peddling the 'AGW' myth, claims that scientists who were providing fraudulent results to support their fraudulent theories weren't really acting fraudulently?
That's a bit like asking King Herod to comment on childcare.
We are Anonymous. We are Legion. We do not forgive. We do not forget. Expect us.
"It costs money to have children...if you don't have any....then don't have them. It is THAT simple. "
Dear Ashie,
Not only has this thread been one of the better examples of debate on this forum, it has had the added benefit of allowing us to watch all your nasty little techniques applied without effect, particularly trying to mis-represent the positions of others, avoiding questions, contradicting your previous positions whilst denying you're doing so or resorting to personal attacks when all else has failed.
We have also had the early Christmas present of you repeatedly losing your temper as the discussion entered areas of expertise that were beyond you – to such a degree in fact that; with Spunkymonkey's post, one could hear the sound of your grinding teeth. Finally, right at the end, you gave us a delightful hissy fit to enjoy as you lashed out wildly in the manner of a pantomime commissar. "This is a serious subject" was a classic from the only poster in fifty one pages to get gripped by PTP.
Hoax and Denilaism/denialaism (sic - priceless! On a par with the point where you got so angry you started to write in Pidgin English) are your assessment of my position, probably because your pre-loaded arguments require me to be so. The reality is more subtle, as numerous posts on this thread bear out, but there's no shading in your politics is there?
Anyway, thanks for being so opinionated and ignorant on a technically demanding thread and thus allowing the rest of us to give you and your views the repeated trepanning that your tedious agitprop deserves.
Happy Christmas (or does your Collective prefer Winterval?)
FF
P.S. DENIALISM or DENIALIST - Feel free to cut n' paste if you have to.
Oh wibble, wibble, woe is me! Grow up princess.Originally Posted by Oil_Slick
I never got called out on f*ck all, YOU posted an irrelevant fact and got called out by chieftiff and myself. CO2 concentration is relevant because of the significant effect it has on climate. Just as a similar concentration of a lethal agent would have on you. Our analogies were correct, your 'fact' and what you tried to say with it was tosh. Stop digging yourself a bigger hole.
What? Unlike Booker trying to flog his book?Originally Posted by Oil_Slick
Mike - it doesn't settle the CO2 argument either way but it wasn't a very good analogy - if only because the MMGW side of the argument is struggling to prove that a small change in CO2 would be as significant as sharing a room with nerve agent - if they could do that, the argument would be over.Originally Posted by MikeMcc
On a wider issue though, you are arguing for the precautionary principle and I'm interested to hear why theoretical concerns about MM CO2 emissions should be given a higher priority than demonstrable and potentially catastrophic problems such as population control, access to clean water, bio-diversity, habitat protection, sustainable food provision and economic development?
Man Made Global Warming?
I'm reminded of this other infamous 'scientific discovery'…
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We are Anonymous. We are Legion. We do not forgive. We do not forget. Expect us.
"It costs money to have children...if you don't have any....then don't have them. It is THAT simple. "
Originally Posted by FORMER_FYRDMAN
Cow farts and cow shit, far more of a 'Global Warming ' issue than tiny amounts of CO2.
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/new...cle6895907.ece
We are Anonymous. We are Legion. We do not forgive. We do not forget. Expect us.
"It costs money to have children...if you don't have any....then don't have them. It is THAT simple. "
This set of pictures was posted by The Times and purports to show the effects of climate change, though I suspect that there may have been droughts and floods at previous points in human history and that ravens may well have died in deserts before Al Gore sounded the alarm. Quite what a large wave in Porthcawl has to do with anything is not explained and nor does the Editor expand on why digging snow in Siberia is a critical indicator.
Very compelling otherwise.
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/new...Name=UKScience
We are all doomed - learn to live with it. We will all die one day and so will our planet...
pain is weakness leaving the body
The analogy was only to show that Oil_Slicks comment was irrelevant. He attempted to ignore the relevance of CO2. I don't know where you get the idea of 'if only because the MMGW side of the argument is struggling to prove that a small change in CO2 would be as significant as sharing a room with nerve agent'. It's another strawman. I could equally say that the concentration of methane in the atmosphere is only 0.00017% so we don't need to be concerned about it. It's equally wrong since its 25 time more potent as a GHG over a 100 year period.Originally Posted by "FORMER_FYRDMAN
It's important to look at all of the GHG concentrations because the effects on climate will most likely effect all of the points that you have raised. Reliable crop productiondepends on predicatable seasons. You're also ignoring what I said earlier about my recommendations, I agree with you that the numbnuts in Copenhagen won't do anything useful. But there are sensible measures that will allow us to control emissions without costing fantastic amounts whilst maintaining our lifesytle.
How easy will it be for us to feed ourselves in the UK if we lose the fen-lands? How expensive are additional pumping and flood defenses?

Dont be such a mug Ashie, the oil companies are backing this too..Originally Posted by ashie
Climate Gate: Is “Big Oil” really behind the Global Warming deniers?
http://pennyforyourthoughts2.blogspo...ly-behind.html
Climategate: CRU looks to “big oil” for support
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/12/0...l-for-support/
There is a hazard in relying on engineering to make something idiot proof. This allows the idiots to have a false sense of security, inevitably leading them to strive to newer, previously unimaginable heights of stupidity that the engineers hadn’t even thought possible.
You obviously didn't read that one very well.Originally Posted by Oil_Slick
Methane is acknowledged as the second most important greenhouse gas produced by human activity after carbon dioxide and is responsible for about a fifth of warming effects
I don't think anybody would dispute the importance of these things, but I would argue that they're potentially harder to solve than MMCC. They do not however have to be mutually exclusive.Originally Posted by FORMER_FYRDMAN
CO2 (from whatever source) does have an affect on climate - the only quibble is over relating precise quantities to size and nature of impact. I can assure you that during flood basalt eruptions (such as those that made the Deccan Flats in India) that go on for thousands of years the climate changed considerably due to the CO2 emitted. That parts of the physics is not in doubt.
There isn't any rainforest left in Borneo and people all over the world are starving. You are so keen to stress the other threats of over population and economic development, but you're seemingly blind to how CC would exacerbate all of these things. If we cannot solve them now, do you expect us to do better when the problem is worse? In the end there isn't much that is detrimental to the planet that can't be at least partially blamed on human greed.
Yes, and just like Climategate, the Piltdown man incident forever killed the idea that we evolved from ape-like creatures. Were we ever sucker for buying into that idea!Originally Posted by Oil_Slick
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Mike - I don't disagree that doing things in a cleaner and less wasteful way is generally a good idea but I am struggling to see why MMGW, which is still theoretical, should be given primacy, politically and economically, over other issues - population pressure with resulting resource pressure, loss of habitat and bio-diversity - which are having major impacts now. Certainly climate is a factor but these issues are best addressed directly rather than trying to manage them by limiting emissions.Originally Posted by MikeMcc

Leaked emails from the Climatic Research Unit show how the world's weightiest climate data has been distorted, says Christopher Booker
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/comment/c...the-world.html
There is a hazard in relying on engineering to make something idiot proof. This allows the idiots to have a false sense of security, inevitably leading them to strive to newer, previously unimaginable heights of stupidity that the engineers hadn’t even thought possible.
I'm not blind as to how climate change might exacerbate other issues, my point is that they will bring us to catastrophe long before MMGW does.Originally Posted by shape.when.wet
I think you are exactly right when you say that they are too difficult to address, that certainly seems to be the political consensus. This is why I don't take MMGW advocates seriously. They're very happy to redistribute wealth, tell everyone what to do and prance about in Copenhagen, but they are silent when it comes to addressing key issues inherent to their own argument.
When I hear Greenpeace propose effective measures to prevent the world's population increasing by a third by the mid 2030's and when I see our leaders make development assistance dependent on achieving legally binding population caps, I will believe that they are serious. Until they do that, they haven't a hope in hell of reducing emissions to the extent they claim is necessary and they don't deserve support for tinkering round the edges and dodging the big stuff.
P.S. Unqualified support for a switch to nuclear power would be persuasive too.
I'm all for nuclear. :D
But telling the human race not to breed (esp when more bodies=more bodies to put to work in poor countries to feed more body's mouths) is like telling a bear to kindly refrain from shitting in the woods.
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