- 10-06-2012, 06:52 #131Senior Member

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Back in '84-'86 I was in grad school in Cambridge, MA getting a Masters and for some reason signed up for a course called "General Purpose Forces" because a couple of classmates said it was interesting despite minimal military skills and experience (other than the ability to field strip an M-1 and put it back together with no parts leftover). I found myself dealing with differential equations and e to the power of (complicated equation) into which one plugged the sum of the weapon unit values of NATO vs Pact. We had to vary things around adding and subtracting things like organic air support, hardened C3I centers etc . After a few weeks of driving myself nuts with paper spreadsheets and a scientific calculator I bought one of those newfangled PC's (no hard drive) and a classmate, a USAF pilot, showed me how to set up the equations on VisiCalc (this was before Lotus 123 and Excel were being used)
No matter how any of us crunched the numbers NATO lasted 6 to 11 days against the Pact if we assumed no nukes used. The only real question at the time was whether Poland would stay in the Pact. Of course a few years later all was changed utterly.Nuair a chacann caora, cacann siad uilig
Giving power and money to government is like giving whiskey and car keys to a teen-age boy - P.J. O'Rourke
A government that robs Peter to pay Paul can always depend on the support of Paul - George Bernard Shaw
- 10-06-2012, 10:20 #132
first Chieftains page i went to, it had the "click here to tell the author you want to see this on Kindle" button. found it now, thanks (or should i say tanks lol)
- 10-06-2012, 10:34 #133Senior Member
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All dependant on " Poland,shit on and subjugated by the Sovs,Czechoslovakia,shit on and subjugated by the Sovs,East Germany,shit on and subjugated by the Sovs,Baltic States,shit on and subjugated by the Sovs",and what would China be doing?
Personally,I don't think the Soviet Union really trusted their 'allies',if the 'crunch' came,but we'll never know!
Videre Nec Videri Oh,and MARMITE for the masses
- 10-06-2012, 11:32 #134
I was told that we had a week before being 'over run.' Personally speaking, I would never have been 'over run'. Caught up with maybe, but never over run. I had one of the Section MCs and I'd have filled those panniers with as many Embassy No1 that I could have robbed from the Mess and as much Jack Daniels as I could fit elsewhere and I'd have been off like Barry fucking Sheene at the drop of hat. Motorbike, tabs and alcohol. Might as well enjoy your last week on the planet.
- 10-06-2012, 11:46 #135
- 10-06-2012, 11:54 #136
Actually I never thought of our forces in Berlin. Without checking the figures and official line on this one, does anyone consider they would have been anything other than marooned and doomed had the balloon gone up? It is hard to believe that would not have been the reality.
- 10-06-2012, 12:00 #137
We were to be bypassed (we weren't going anywhere) and left until they'd sorted out BAOR, then the Eastie Beasties were coming back for us. Had a great two years there waiting for them! From what I could gather we had intended fighting them from the cellars and the sewers. Wouldn't have been much point if they'd wiped out BAOR. I reckon that we'd have holed up until offered the chance to surrender. Bit like Singapore but with free beer and fags.
Last edited by Biscuits_AB; 10-06-2012 at 12:03.
- 10-06-2012, 12:13 #138
Coming to the party a bit late, but wasn't Massive Retaliation (as a doctrine) shelved and replaced with Proportional Response during the Kennedy/Macnamara administration?
ISTR this was one of the drivers behind the French leaving NATO, as the implicit consequence was that Central Europe would be reduced to glow-in-the-dark glass, but the US and the USSR would remain (relatively) unscathed.
Originally Posted by Leo Docherty
- 10-06-2012, 12:21 #139Senior Member

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I read it, still got it somewhere. Definately remember the concept being about the Russians going through Fulda however the North German plain was the other obvious one that was mentioned. Made sense at the time. AS to quaity of the book- readable and very American oriented- but noit shy about casualties
- 10-06-2012, 12:21 #140Senior Member
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Nobody has jet mentioned our valuable allies - the French.
How soon would they have surrendered and what effect would it have had on our top brass & our pollies being denied weekends in Paris?I used to lead retreats, mate!




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