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Discuss Economic crisis in Economics on The Army Rumour Service; Originally Posted by geezer466 Wordsmith is a great contributor to this thread (and the other) but I am sure will be the first to say it is was pretty obvious from quite early on that ...
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    Quote Originally Posted by geezer466 View Post
    Wordsmith is a great contributor to this thread (and the other) but I am sure will be the first to say it is was pretty obvious from quite early on that the model the Eurozone was working to was unsustainable over the longer term. It was very simply just a matter of time...
    I plead guilty to the charge m'lud - the euro is unsustainable over time and all my 'wisdom' has been is pointing out the obvious.

    Yet the thing that worries me most about the whole situation is that the penalties of the euro failing are steadily increasing. With each national bailout, with each bank bailout, with each injection of LTRO, with each intervention in the bond market by the ECB, the liabilities for the taxpayers of the 17 eurozone countries are steadily building up.

    I have talked before about the 'socialisation of debt' and that's exactly what's happening. More and more euro related debt is being removed from private hands and becoming the collective responsibility of the governments in the euro. I don't think the attempts to save the euro are anything near their end yet. I expect further large injections of cash to try and stave off the inevitable. Taxes in the euro countries are eventually going to go up massively to plug the resulting losses. And that'll wreck their economies for a generation to come.

    Wordsmith

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    Quote Originally Posted by ugly View Post
    People who stay up till 2 am for election results often are the sort of person who holds a eurovision party in their house and dresses up for the occaision.
    Huh..!!..do we have a new 'Mod'..??

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    Quote Originally Posted by Wordsmith View Post
    I plead guilty to the charge m'lud - the euro is unsustainable over time and all my 'wisdom' has been is pointing out the obvious.

    Yet the thing that worries me most about the whole situation is that the penalties of the euro failing are steadily increasing. With each national bailout, with each bank bailout, with each injection of LTRO, with each intervention in the bond market by the ECB, the liabilities for the taxpayers of the 17 eurozone countries are steadily building up.

    I have talked before about the 'socialisation of debt' and that's exactly what's happening. More and more euro related debt is being removed from private hands and becoming the collective responsibility of the governments in the euro. I don't think the attempts to save the euro are anything near their end yet. I expect further large injections of cash to try and stave off the inevitable. Taxes in the euro countries are eventually going to go up massively to plug the resulting losses. And that'll wreck their economies for a generation to come.

    Wordsmith
    Not if the bankers become 'strange fruit' first...

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    Moderator Alsacien's Avatar
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    Unfortunately, quantity of posting on here is not going win anyone a Nobel economics prize, especially as the core theory has not, and will not happen.
    The Euro is here to stay, and so is the EU, people should start getting over those simple facts, and deal with it.

    Sent from my Blackberry 9860 using Tapatalk

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    Quote Originally Posted by Alsacien View Post
    Unfortunately, quantity of posting on here is not going win anyone a Nobel economics prize, especially as the core theory has not, and will not happen.
    The Euro is here to stay, and so is the EU, people should start getting over those simple facts, and deal with it.

    Sent from my Blackberry 9860 using Tapatalk
    True...in terms of 'Bulls eyes' your goodself would appear to be on the outer peripheries and your 'brush stroke' statments get broader as time passes...

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    Senior Member Pyianno's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Alsacien View Post
    Unfortunately, quantity of posting on here is not going win anyone a Nobel economics prize, especially as the core theory has not, and will not happen.
    The Euro is here to stay, and so is the EU, people should start getting over those simple facts, and deal with it.

    Sent from my Blackberry 9860 using Tapatalk
    Dysfunctional political systems are capable of surviving for considerable lengths of time - the USSR is a good example.

    However that does not change the fact that they are dysfunctional!
    Balleh likes this.
    "If a terrorist organisation wanted to knock out the moral compass of Britain, all they'd have to do is to kill 100 celebrities at random. The entire country would have an instant nervous breakdown."

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    Senior Member geezer466's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Alsacien View Post
    Unfortunately, quantity of posting on here is not going win anyone a Nobel economics prize, especially as the core theory has not, and will not happen.
    The Euro is here to stay, and so is the EU, people should start getting over those simple facts, and deal with it.

    Sent from my Blackberry 9860 using Tapatalk
    You subscribe to the view then that some sort of closer fiscal union will be forged before Sovereigns go under?
    Quis custodiet ipsos custodes!

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    Quote Originally Posted by Pyianno View Post
    Dysfunctional political systems are capable of surviving for considerable lengths of time - the USSR is a good example.

    However that does not change the fact that they are dysfunctional!
    You will never hear me singing the praises of the EU, but that does not mean it is going to go away in any of our lifetimes...so I'd rather deal with it than pretend its not there.

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    Moderator Alsacien's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by geezer466 View Post
    You subscribe to the view then that some sort of closer fiscal union will be forged before Sovereigns go under?
    There is already closer fiscal agreement, and there will be more. But I don't subscribe to the ideal of full fiscal union as it is not needed.

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    Senior Member geezer466's Avatar
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    Merkel really knows how to wind the Greeks up before a crucial election.....

    Depending on the result's tomorrow Germany could end up playing Greece (who are already through) in the Euro's Qtr finals...... If it plays out it should be an interesting match......

    BBC News - Germany's Merkel urges Greek commitment to austerity
    Quis custodiet ipsos custodes!

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