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  1. #1
    Senior Member wedge35's Avatar
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    Do You Live in a Marginal Seat?

    Given the way our electoral system works, as usual the general election is likley to be won and lost in a relatively small number of marginal constituencies and if you are lucky enough to live in one, your vote will carry much more power than those of people who live in areas that are solidly controlled by one party or the other.

    This is an interesting document that lists all seats in order of how marginal they are. Usefully, it also provides notional information to take into account the boundary changes that will come into effect before the election:

    http://www.parliament.uk/commons/lib...snsg-03373.pdf

    A more concise list of marginal seats can also be found here:

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Margina...United_Kingdom

    I live in Birmingham Edgbaston which not only tends to return MPs who belong to the winning Party, but is also a key battleground between the Tories and New Labour. As Gisela Stuart herself has said, if the Tories take Edgbaston, they take the election.
    Sh1te trooper...but super trouper!

  2. #2
    Senior Member ex_colonial's Avatar
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    Re: Do You Live in a Marginal Seat?

    So, who are you going to vote for? Or are you going to approach the various candidates and "hint" it could be worth their while to make a "contribution" to your personal charity
    "Socialism is a philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance, and the gospel of envy". Winston Churchill

  3. #3
    Senior Member smartascarrots's Avatar
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    Re: Do You Live in a Marginal Seat?

    Oh great, the future of the nation in the hands of Brummies...

    On a serious note, can we really claim to be a democratic nation when this sort of situation exists? We may once have been at the forefront of representative government, but not any more. 18th Century methods rooted in 16th Century attitudes to governance.

    We're long overdue radical change.
    We need people who look to the stars, holding the nation and the world in their hearts but at the same time we need down-to-earth people who can do serious and trying work.

    In a definite sense, a country's power and prestige isn't only a reflection of its economic power but also a reflection of its people's quality and morality. Moreover, I think the latter is actually more important in the long-term.

    http://www.economist.com/blogs/multi...na_has_changed

  4. #4
    Member cursedveggie's Avatar
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    Re: Do You Live in a Marginal Seat?

    I'm from Crawley where NuLabor have been in power for as long as I can remember, they only had a majority of 37 votes at the last election so hopefully this time they will be out on there arse

    Not that the rest of them will be any better
    I think therfore I am vegetarian

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  5. #5
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    Re: Do You Live in a Marginal Seat?

    Quote Originally Posted by cursedveggie
    I'm from Crawley where NuLabor have been in power for as long as I can remember, they only had a majority of 37 votes at the last election so hopefully this time they will be out on there arse

    Not that the rest of them will be any better
    For what it's worth I'm confident that none of them could possibly do any worse, the current government are of a magnitude of crap that is almost impossible to quantify. I can safely say that we have for some time been living through the worst government in living memory and quite possibly in recorded history. The end cannot come soon enough.
    There is always to be seen just a little strip of Green, on the left of the Thin Red Line!

    “Our rulers will best promote the improvement of the nation by strictly confining themselves to their own legitimate duties, by leaving capital to find its most lucrative course, commodities their fair price, industry and intelligence their natural reward, idleness and folly their natural punishment, by maintaining peace, by defending property, by diminishing the price of law, and by observing strict economy in every department of the state.”

    •Macaulay in his essay on Southey’s Colloquies, written in 1830:

  6. #6
    Senior Member Bazzinho1977's Avatar
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    Re: Do You Live in a Marginal Seat?

    Quote Originally Posted by Jaeger

    For what it's worth I'm confident that none of them could possibly do any worse, the current government are of a magnitude of crap that is almost impossible to quantify. I can safely say that we have for some time been living through the worst government in living memory and quite possibly in recorded history. The end cannot come soon enough.
    Personally, I would say those countries that have endured revolution in order to overthrow the government of the day would probably claim to have had it worse. Things are so bad in this country we get angry and spout off on an interweb forum. So I guess we are a LONG way back in those stakes.

  7. #7
    Senior Member Bouillabaisse's Avatar
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    Re: Do You Live in a Marginal Seat?

    Harlow, won by labour last time - majority of 97 over the Tories. UKIP votes - 2000. Lessons learnt by the Tories -0


    Brigadier Bill Aldridge, commander of British forces in the South Atlantic, responded by saying: I am not expecting to hand the islands over to anybody and therefore put us in a position to have to retake the islands.

  8. #8
    Senior Member Closet_Jibber's Avatar
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    Re: Do You Live in a Marginal Seat?

    Well my vote is wasted. Whatever I do labour/limp dem still have a huge majority where I am as the work shy fcukers want to remain on their arrses and would probably text a vote in if they could.

    I think I'll be spoiling mine!
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    If BAe got the contract then we'd order a couple of Leopard Seals to deal with the penguins but we'd end up with a couple of Salmon 'fitted for but not with' teeth by 2038 at only 24bn.

  9. #9
    Senior Member HectortheInspector's Avatar
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    Re: Do You Live in a Marginal Seat?

    Bethnal Green & Bow

    Galloway, G. majority-823

    Ain't postal voting marvellous. From the 2005 election:

    http://www.thisislondon.co.uk/news/a...-fears-rise.do

    "Hackney tops the league table of increases, with the council having issued 37,285 postal votes for its two constituencies — up 4,000 per cent. The borough has seen demand soar as a result of its 2002 council elections being conducted exclusively by postal voting in a government pilot scheme.

    Barnet is second highest with 32,501. The average number of postal votes per borough is 16,862.

    The figures emerged a week after the Standard revealed how the election is open to vote-rigging. A number of postal ballots for constituencies across London were obtained by a reporter without any apparent checks for fraud.

    Last year’s local elections in Birmingham led to the sacking of six Labour councillors for postal fraud. The elections commissioner said the system “would disgrace a banana republic”.

    Hackney South and Shoreditch, a safe Labour seat, will have the highest
    umber of postal votes in the capital, with 19,456 issued.

    Hackney North is second with 17,829. Third is the Lib-Dem marginal seat of Richmond Park.

    Elsewhere, 6,600 postal votes have been issued in Bethnal Green and Bow, which is being contested by Oona King and George Galloway."

  10. #10
    Senior Member Ancient_Mariner's Avatar
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    Re: Do You Live in a Marginal Seat?

    Quote Originally Posted by wedge35
    As Gisela Stuart herself has said, if the Tories take Edgbaston, they take the election.
    Had an interesting chat with one of our local Tories recently. Asked him if our constituency was really a marginal as it had been Labour. His response was that the MP returned in our constituency would determine whether the next Chancellor is George Osborne (Tory win) or Nick Clegg (hung parliament).
    Remember, a dog is for life. A turkey's just for Christmas though, and perhaps Boxing Day if it's a big one.

  11. #11
    Senior Member Le_addeur_noir's Avatar
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    Re: Do You Live in a Marginal Seat?

    Quote Originally Posted by HectortheInspector
    Bethnal Green & Bow

    Galloway, G. majority-823

    Ain't postal voting marvellous. From the 2005 election:

    http://www.thisislondon.co.uk/news/a...-fears-rise.do

    "Hackney tops the league table of increases, with the council having issued 37,285 postal votes for its two constituencies — up 4,000 per cent. The borough has seen demand soar as a result of its 2002 council elections being conducted exclusively by postal voting in a government pilot scheme.

    Barnet is second highest with 32,501. The average number of postal votes per borough is 16,862.

    The figures emerged a week after the Standard revealed how the election is open to vote-rigging. A number of postal ballots for constituencies across London were obtained by a reporter without any apparent checks for fraud.

    Last year’s local elections in Birmingham led to the sacking of six Labour councillors for postal fraud. The elections commissioner said the system “would disgrace a banana republic”.

    Hackney South and Shoreditch, a safe Labour seat, will have the highest
    umber of postal votes in the capital, with 19,456 issued.

    Hackney North is second with 17,829. Third is the Lib-Dem marginal seat of Richmond Park.

    Elsewhere, 6,600 postal votes have been issued in Bethnal Green and Bow, which is being contested by Oona King and George Galloway."
    Postal voting is basically ballot rigging and under Labour,a growth industry.
    Socialism is the junior brother of communism and should be eliminated in Britain forthwith.

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  12. #12
    Senior Member Odo_de_StAmand's Avatar
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    Re: Do You Live in a Marginal Seat?

    Quote Originally Posted by HectortheInspector
    Bethnal Green & Bow

    Galloway, G. majority-823

    Ain't postal voting marvellous. From the 2005 election:

    http://www.thisislondon.co.uk/news/a...-fears-rise.do

    "Hackney tops the league table of increases, with the council having issued 37,285 postal votes for its two constituencies — up 4,000 per cent. The borough has seen demand soar as a result of its 2002 council elections being conducted exclusively by postal voting in a government pilot scheme.

    Barnet is second highest with 32,501. The average number of postal votes per borough is 16,862.

    The figures emerged a week after the Standard revealed how the election is open to vote-rigging. A number of postal ballots for constituencies across London were obtained by a reporter without any apparent checks for fraud.

    Last year’s local elections in Birmingham led to the sacking of six Labour councillors for postal fraud. The elections commissioner said the system “would disgrace a banana republic”.

    Hackney South and Shoreditch, a safe Labour seat, will have the highest
    umber of postal votes in the capital, with 19,456 issued.

    Hackney North is second with 17,829. Third is the Lib-Dem marginal seat of Richmond Park.

    Elsewhere, 6,600 postal votes have been issued in Bethnal Green and Bow, which is being contested by Oona King and George Galloway."
    See the post on Islamic infiltration of the Labour Party - Galloway only got in because of the IFE

    Odo
    There's no honour in dying for your country. Make the other bastard die for his.

  13. #13
    Senior Member Bazzinho1977's Avatar
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    Re: Do You Live in a Marginal Seat?

    Quote Originally Posted by Bouillabaisse
    Harlow, won by labour last time - majority of 97 over the Tories. UKIP votes - 2000. Lessons learnt by the Tories -0
    Bill Rammell has been (I think) the MP there since Noah bought the instructional book "Woods that Float".

  14. #14
    Senior Member leveller's Avatar
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    Re: Do You Live in a Marginal Seat?

    Tewkesbury, about as un-marginal as you could get. Been Conservative for eon’s, Lib’s get a look in every couple of hundred years, and Labour may as well not bother turning up.


    The Green’s made inroads at one of the elections, but that was due to appointing a tidy bit of totty to run for MP.

  15. #15
    Senior Member ex_colonial's Avatar
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    Re: Do You Live in a Marginal Seat?

    "See the post on Islamic infiltration of the Labour Party - Galloway only got in because of the IFE"

    Odo

    Exactly Odo, watch out for a huge increase again in the forthcoming election, especially in constituencies with similar demographics! Why do you think "nulabour" have had a COVERT policy of mass immigration since they got into power!
    "Socialism is a philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance, and the gospel of envy". Winston Churchill

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