Ratings agency warns Britain to lose its AAA credit rating
Discuss Ratings agency warns Britain to lose its AAA credit rating in Current Affairs, News and Analysis on The Army Rumour Service; Exbleep exchange rates have little to do with a credit rating, it is the ability of a country to repay its debts which have an impact on its credit rating. AAA+ being the highest, the ...
Exbleep exchange rates have little to do with a credit rating, it is the ability of a country to repay its debts which have an impact on its credit rating. AAA+ being the highest, the rating will determine the interest rates on the repayments required by the lender.
Gilts are sold to raise money and are "guaranteed" repayment with a high interest - in essence a bond but for governmental purposes. S&P have examined the UK economy, and are looking at the debt to GDP ratio, and the announcements made recently in the budget. From there they make an assessment as to the creditworthyness of the UK economy. They are warning that our AAA+ rating is in jeopardy (therefore making the borrowing using gilts more expensive). They have indicated that the government is doing little to nothing to reduce borrowing and warning that this will impact our ability to raise cash because of our likelihood of default on debt.
Default to a gilt holder could be via a devaluation of the currency, or as is happening now, by printing more cash in the economy (quantative easing is the modern term for printing cash).
Re: Ratings agency warns Britain to lose its AAA credit rating
Pound strength is due to Yankee $ weakness.
$ weakness is the reason that Oil prices have risen, their is no extra demand for Oil despite all that the international Speculators can do to push the price up.
I am still of the opinion that we have not seen the end to this Financial Mess.
The Euro is in far worst state then it appears on first glance.
I take no pride in the eventual demise of the Euro, it was a bad idea for this time tho I do not doubt in years to come 30-50 it will be right solution for The United States of Europe.
john
Re: Ratings agency warns Britain to lose its AAA credit rating
Originally Posted by jonwilly
I am still of the opinion that we have not seen the end to this Financial Mess.
The Euro is in far worst state then it appears on first glance.
I take no pride in the eventual demise of the Euro, it was a bad idea for this time tho I do not doubt in years to come 30-50 it will be right solution for The United States of Europe.
john
Re: Ratings agency warns Britain to lose its AAA credit rating
From the only Man more Boring then me on the Subject of Debt
"Grappling with debt
Published by John Redwood under Blog
How many more wake up calls does the government need, before they recognise the seriousness of the UK’s debt situation?
In government circles it is fashionable to dismiss arguments that we need to control the deficit. They believe that spending whatever it takes will prevent or limit the recession. They think they can go on printing money to get them closer to the next election. They say that of course the UK will never default on its debt. All it has to do in their world is print some money so it can meet the debt bills.
There are two ways a country can try to default on its debts. It could stop paying the interest, or literally cancel the bonds. The UK does not do such things, and it is unlikely to start any time soon. The other way is to undermine the currency and the value of the pound, so the money can be repaid in depreciated notes. Some in world markets are now worried that this is exactly what the government will do. There has been a steady stream of overseas sellers of UK government debt, selling it back to the Bank of England as they do the buying.
At a certain point buyers of Uk government debt want a higher rate of interest to justify making a further investment. The government gets itself into a nasty spiral. It is spending too much, so it borrows too much. The amount spent on interest payments goes up, requiring yet more borrowing to pay the interest. The rate at which it has to borrow goes up, again increasing the interest charges and requiring yet more borrowing to pay the interest.
In Opposition Labour used to know this. They rightly pointed out that the then government spent too much on debt interest, and too much on the “costs of economic failure” - welfare benefits for those without jobs. Many people are now very nostalgic for the relatively low levels of debt and the lower costs of welfare of those days. By its own former rhetoric this government has got itself into the wrong situation. Its own budget deficit is now ballooning through too much debt interest and too many people out of work.
They are about to discover that it is easy to get into a vicious circle on debt, but much more difficult to get out. If you borrow £417,000,000,000 gross debt in just two years as they are doing, you have to pay £12,500,000,000 a year in interest at 3%. If you had to borrow that again at 5% the interest bills soars to £20,850,000,000 a year. And that’s just the interest on two year’s borrowings!"
12,5000,000,000 at 3% OR 20,850,000,000 at 5%
That's why AAA matters.
john
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